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Child Benefits as a Tool for Reducing Child Poverty in Russia: Microsimulation Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Marina A. Kartseva

    (The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, Russia)

  • Polina O. Kuznetsova

    (The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, Russia)

  • Ekaterina A. Seredkina

    (The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, Russia
    Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

The work employs a microsimulation approach to assess the impact of child benefits on the poverty level among children in Russia. The empirical basis of the study is data from a nationally representative Sample Survey of Household Income and Participation in Social Programmes conducted by Rosstat. The analysis reveals that between 2014 and 2021, child benefits did reduce the poverty level among children, but their impact was quite limited. In exploring possible directions for developing of the child benefit system, the study conducts a scenario analysis, evaluating the effect of universal, categorical, means-tested, and mixed-scheme benefits on child poverty levels. For each scenario, the effectiveness of the benefits is assessed in relation to their cost. The results suggest that, given a limited budget, the most promising approach may be a mixed-scheme benefit, with universal payments for younger children and means-tested payments for older children.

Suggested Citation

  • Marina A. Kartseva & Polina O. Kuznetsova & Ekaterina A. Seredkina, 2024. "Child Benefits as a Tool for Reducing Child Poverty in Russia: Microsimulation Analysis," Population and Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 8(2), pages 155-177, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:arh:jpopec:v:8:y:2024:i:2:p:155-177
    DOI: 10.3897/popecon.8.e121787
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    child poverty child benefits universal child benefit means-tested benefit microsimulations;

    JEL classification:

    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • H53 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs

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