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A Dinâmica Peculiar dos Investimentos Agrícolas nos Estados Unidos (1948-1994): Uma Explicação Baseada Em Eficiência Reprodutiva

  • Francisco de Assis Costa

    (Universidade Federal do Pará)

Registered author(s):

    É matéria de pouca controvérsia que as variáveis de investimento são procíclicas em relação ao Produto Nacional Bruto. Este artigo discute uma situação relevante que não corrobora esta certeza: a dos investimentos na agricultura dos Estados Unidos. A variação no estoque da capital nesse setor é contra cíclico para o Periodo que vai de 1948 a 1994. As peculiaridades dos movimentos na taxa de juros, nem as transferências do governo explicam sozinhas este fenômeno, que poderia ser melhor esclarecido pela dominância das relações familiares na agricultura: pelas especificidades que, a partir de Chayanov, é possível observar nessa forma de produção. Com um modelo que incorpora tais características são simuladas taxas de investimento potenciais, cuja correlação com os ciclos de investimento é bastante elevada.

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    File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/revista/vol8/vol8n2p289_320.pdf
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    Article provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its journal Economia.

    Volume (Year): 8 (2007)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 289–320

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    Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:8:y:2007:i:2:p:289-320
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