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Análise dos Efeitos Econômicos da Implantação do Princípio do Destino na Cobrança do ICMS e suas Implicações sobre a Pobreza e a Desigualdade de Renda

Author

Listed:
  • Nelson Leitão Paes

    (Receita Federal)

  • Marcelo Lettieri Siqueira

    (UFC)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the economic effect of the implantation of the destination principle in the collection of the ICMS and its implications on the poverty and the regional inequality. The implantation would be made in three stages: in 2005, the interstate tax would be reduced in 25%, falling 25% in 2008, and being eliminated definitively in 2012. Two possibilities had been considered: one with all States and another one excepting the Amazonas. Moreover, the winner states had been able to increase its expenditures with the collection profit or to repass it for the families through transferences. The results had shown that only six States would lose with the implantation of the destination principle: Goi´as, Santa Catarina, Mato Grosso do Sul, S˜ao Paulo, Esp´?rito Santo e Amazonas. The great winners would be Maranh˜ao, Distrito Federal, Roraima, Acre, Alagoas and Piau´?. At the macroeconomic level, it has a small increase in the consumption and a gradual reduction of the product and the supply of capital. In equity terms, if the profits will be transferred to the families, would have a significant reduction of the poverty, mainly in the poor states, with little variation in the regional inequality, with a small gain for the Northeast States.

Suggested Citation

  • Nelson Leitão Paes & Marcelo Lettieri Siqueira, 2005. "Análise dos Efeitos Econômicos da Implantação do Princípio do Destino na Cobrança do ICMS e suas Implicações sobre a Pobreza e a Desigualdade de Renda," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 6(3), pages 91-126.
  • Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:6:y:2005:i:3:p:91-126
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    Cited by:

    1. Paes, Nelson Leitão, 2009. "Destination Principle at ICMS and Its Dynamic Results for Brazilian States," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 63(3), August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ICMS; Princípio do Destino; Pobreza; Desigualdade de Renda;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General

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