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Dinâmica de Transição e Sustentabilidade da Política Fiscal no Rio Grande do Sul

  • Cristiano Aguiar de Oliveira

    (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande)

  • Liderau dos Santos Marques Júnior

    (Fundação de Economia e Estatística)

Este artigo avalia a sustentabilidade da política fiscal do Rio Grande do Sul a partir de um modelo de correção de equilíbrio com mudanças Markovianas de regime. São estudadas as dinâmicas de curto e de longo prazo da política fiscal do Estado no período compreendido entre 1970 e 2007. A principal conclusão é de que a política fiscal do Estado é sustentável no longo prazo. Entretanto, este resultado está condicionado a uma alternância de regimes fiscais. O artigo conclui que são necessárias reformas institucionais com a finalidade de tornar as finanças públicas do Estado administrável no curto prazo.

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Article provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its journal Economia.

Volume (Year): 12 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 581_607

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Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:12:y:2011:i:3:581_607
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