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Examination of Affecting Variables for Youth Unemployment with Cointegration Analysis


  • Erkan Arı
  • Ayşegül Yıldız


The increase in the youth unemployment rates in the face of the rapidly increasing population in recent years reveals that the employment status of the young population is not sufficient. Therefore, examination of young unemployment is of great importance. In this study; using from the annual world bank data for the period 1988-2015, the long-run relationship between young unemployment rate in Turkey, higher education enrollment rate and population growth rate was examined by Johansen Cointegration Analysis. Analysis of the data used Eviews 8 program. Long-term problems have been eliminated with the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Findings at the end of the study revealed the existence of a long-term positive relationship between higher school enrollment rate and population growth rate on youth unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Erkan Arı & Ayşegül Yıldız, 2017. "Examination of Affecting Variables for Youth Unemployment with Cointegration Analysis," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 5(2), pages 309-316, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:anm:alpnmr:v:5:y:2017:i:2:p:309-316

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    More about this item


    Cointegration; Population Growth; Schooling Rate; Youth Unemployment;

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity


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