IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Can oil reach $200 a barrel?


  • David BONNER

    (University of Exeter)


Oil is a natural exhaustible resource, affected by depletion. It is one of the most important factors of production, but because is not a storable good, it can only obtain value by production and consumption (Elekdag et. al., 2008). This essay will first discuss the facts that would lead to a rise in the oil price to $200 a barrel by 2009 and then look at the impact of this rise, considering it is maintained for further 5 years. The ASPS, one of the most common indexes for oil, has risen by 70,1% from January 2007 to January 2008 (IMF Primary Commodity Prices). In view of this, this scenario is a very likely to take place in the next period. This essay is concentrating on the effects this increase would have on growth, inflation and unemployment în both non-oil and oil producing countries, using a basic analysis of aggregate demand - aggregate supply.

Suggested Citation

  • David BONNER, 2008. "Can oil reach $200 a barrel?," Finante - provocarile viitorului (Finance - Challenges of the Future), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(8), pages 132-137, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:aio:fpvfcf:v:1:y:2008:i:8:p:132-137

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    More about this item


    oil price; monetary policy; Philips curve;

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aio:fpvfcf:v:1:y:2008:i:8:p:132-137. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Alina Manta). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.