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Are Yearly Variations in Crop Yield Really Random?

Author

Listed:
  • Foote, Richard J.
  • Bean, Louis H.

Abstract

The study reported here is part of a research project, under the Research and Marketing Act of 1946, entitled Anticipating Year-to-Year Changes in Market Supplies Due to Changes in Yields Per Acre. One of the purposes is to learn whether the available records on crop yields per acre contain variations from year to year, or patterns of variations over periods of years, that might be usable in anticipating changes in per acre yields for a year or more in advance. Louis H. Bean here restates his views on the evidence of trends and patterns in crop yields and weather and as a first step in determining the reality of such trends and patterns, Richard J. Foote reports on the application of selected statistical tests to the fluctuations in corn yields and in a constructed series, concluding with a suggestion, for a more appropriate statistical test.

Suggested Citation

  • Foote, Richard J. & Bean, Louis H., 1951. "Are Yearly Variations in Crop Yield Really Random?," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 3(1), pages 1-8, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uersja:140702
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.140702
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Lisha, 2015. "Three essays on crop yield, crop insurance and climate change," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005371, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Pope, C. Arden, III, 1981. "The dynamics of crop yields in the U. S. Corn Belt as effected by weather and technological progress," ISU General Staff Papers 198101010800008463, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    3. Geigel, Joanne M. & Sundquist, W. Burt, 1984. "A Review And Evaluation Of Weather-Crop Yield Models," Staff Papers 13699, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crop Production/Industries;

    Statistics

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