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Beyond Expected Utility: Risk Concepts for Agriculture from a Contemporary Mathmatical Perspective


  • Weiss, Michael D.


Expected utility theory, the most prominent economic model of how individuals choose among alternative rists, exhibits serious deficiencies in describing empirically observed behavior. Consequently, economists are actively searching for a new paradigm to describe behavior under risk. Their mathematical tools, such as functional analysis and measure theory, reflect a new, more sophisticated approach to risk. This article describes the new approach, explains several of the mathematical concepts used, and indicates some of their connections to agricultural modeling.

Suggested Citation

  • Weiss, Michael D., 2. "Beyond Expected Utility: Risk Concepts for Agriculture from a Contemporary Mathmatical Perspective," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, issue 2.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:uersja:138007

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Wolff, Christian C P, 1987. "Time-Varying Parameters and the Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Structural Exchange Rate Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(1), pages 87-97, January.
    2. Roger K. Conway & Charles B. Hallahan & Richard P. Stillman & Paul T. Prentice, 1990. "Forecasting livestock prices: Fixed and stochastic coefficients estimation comparisons," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(1), pages 15-32.
    3. P.A.V.B. Swamy & Roger K. Conway & Peter von zur Muehlen, 1984. "The foundations of econometrics: are there any?," Special Studies Papers 182, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Chow, Gregory C., 1984. "Random and changing coefficient models," Handbook of Econometrics,in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 21, pages 1213-1245 Elsevier.
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