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Tlcan: Un Camino Hacia Adelante

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  • Crawford, Terry L.

Abstract

It has been over four years since the NAFTA transition period was completed and we are now operating on a normal basis in terms of the removal of tariffs and quotas. During this post transition period we have experienced a major worldwide recession. Using USDA baseline 2021 projections and other econometric analysis we can project how NAFTA will work in the next ten years, especially for agricultural commodities. The key finding is that NAFTA trade is highly correlated with GDP growth in the three countries.....Hace poco más de cuatro años que terminó el período de transición del TLCAN y ahora opera de manera normal en cuanto a la eliminación de aranceles y cuotas. Durante este período de post-transición hemos experimentado una recesión a nivel mundial. Utilizando de referencia las proyecciones del año 2021 del USDA y otros análisis econométricos, podemos proyectar cómo marchará el TLCAN en los próximos diez años, sobre todo para los productos agrícolas. El descubrimiento clave es que el comercio del TLCAN está altamente correlacionado con el crecimiento del PIB en los tres países.

Suggested Citation

  • Crawford, Terry L., 2013. "Tlcan: Un Camino Hacia Adelante," Revista Mexicana de Agronegocios, Sociedad Mexicana de Administracion Agropecuaria, vol. 33(July-Dece), pages 1-16.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:remeag:155022
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.155022
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    Keywords

    Agribusiness;

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