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Wahania sezonowe na rynku mleka w Polsce i UE-15

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  • Szajner, Piotr

Abstract

Milk production and procurement in Poland and UE-15 show a clear seasonal fluctuations which are determined by the distribution of calving and feeding regimes. The seasonal fluctuations are transferred on the consequent stages of the food chain and also have got numerous microeconomic implications. A decomposition of time series makes possible differentiation of seasonal fluctuations analysis and measurement of patterns. In Poland over the period of 2001-2013 the largest seasonal variability featured exports of dairy products and milk supply (deliveries) to the dairy industry. On the other hand procurement prices were much less volatile because to a large extent they were dependent upon changes in the situation on international market as well as upon stochastic factors. Over the concerned period the seasonal fluctuations on the dairy market have diminished. / Synopsis. Produkcja i skup mleka w Polsce i UE-15 wykazują wyraźne wahania sezonowe, które są determinowane rozkładem wycieleń i systemem żywienia. Wahania sezonowe podaży surowca przenoszą się na kolejne etapy łańcucha marketingowego oraz mają wiele skutków mikroekonomicznych. Dekompozycja szeregów czasowych umożliwia wyodrębnienie wahań sezonowych, analizę i pomiar prawidłowości. W Polsce w latach 2001-2013 największą zmiennością sezonową charakteryzował się eksport produktów mleczarskich oraz dostawy mleka do przemysłu, a najmniejszą ceny skupu, które w znacznym stopniu zleżały od wahań koniunkturalnych na międzynarodowym rynku i losowych. Wahania sezonowe na rynku mleka ewoluowały w czasie i analizowanym okresie uległy znacznemu zmniejszeniu.

Suggested Citation

  • Szajner, Piotr, 2014. "Wahania sezonowe na rynku mleka w Polsce i UE-15," Problems of World Agriculture / Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, vol. 14(29), pages 1-10, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:polpwa:189830
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.189830
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