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Koncepcja Sposobu Prognozowania Cen Pszenicy W Polsce

Author

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  • Jodź, Kamil
  • Mruklik, Agnieszka

Abstract

Article refers to a method of forecasting wheat prices in Poland, which was suggested in the literature. This idea is based on empirical observations. Authors observed that there is a relationship between global prices of wheat and prices in Poland. The authors of this article have identified a process ARIMA (0, 1, 1) as a stochastic model to describe the global prices of wheat. They also found a correlation coefficients, which confirmed the relationship between the global and Polish prices. They forecasted Polish wheat prices in the second quarter of 2014 and the ex-post errors. All calculations were performed using GRETL.

Suggested Citation

  • Jodź, Kamil & Mruklik, Agnieszka, 2014. "Koncepcja Sposobu Prognozowania Cen Pszenicy W Polsce," Roczniki (Annals), Polish Association of Agricultural Economists and Agribusiness - Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistow Rolnictwa e Agrobiznesu (SERiA), vol. 2014(5).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:paaero:205228
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205228
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    Keywords

    Agribusiness;

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