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Global financial crisis-driven mutations affecting the transmission mechanism customized to monetary policy strategies. A VAR, SVAR and BVAR approach

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  • Iulian Vasile POPESCU

    (“Alexandru Ioan Cuza”, University of Iaşi)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in the Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries on the road to euro adoption depending on the monetary policy strategies used by the national central banks (CBs). The scientific construction of the paper is based on three methods: vector autoregressive (VAR), structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) and Bayesian techniques-estimated vector autoregressive (BVAR). The main results have indicated: 1) lack of similarity of the transmission mechanism, a high degree of heterogeneity in the transmission of monetary policy impulses indicated in all three cases subject to analysis: speed, persistence and amplitude, 2) an increase in the speed of monetary policy shocks transmission, a decrease in the amplitude of monetary policy shock impact and a reduction (or the maintaining at a similar level) of the persistence of monetary policy shock effects subsequent to the global financial crisis, regardless of the monetary policy strategy used.

Suggested Citation

  • Iulian Vasile POPESCU, 2014. "Global financial crisis-driven mutations affecting the transmission mechanism customized to monetary policy strategies. A VAR, SVAR and BVAR approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(591)), pages 35-66, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:xxi:y:2014:i:2(591):p:35-66
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