IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Credit Risk Pricing And The Cost Of Risk: A Two Way Avenue


  • Bogdan Moinescu

    (Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies)


This paper seeks to investigate the banking sector’s internal mechanisms that might bring about a negative spiral of credit risk by building a model for the interaction between the increase of the credit risk premiums and that of the provision expenses. Statistical results suggest that while the change in expected losses on credit portfolio is a strong determinant in credit risk pricing, a higher risk premium is one of the major factors of provision expenses in Romania. This confirms that overshooting credit risk premiums could affect banking stability. Nevertheless, the empirical analysis does not reject the rational expectations hypothesis in credit risk pricing.

Suggested Citation

  • Bogdan Moinescu, 2011. "Credit Risk Pricing And The Cost Of Risk: A Two Way Avenue," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 5(5(558)(su), pages 813-817, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:5(558)(supplement):y:2011:i:5(558)(supplement):p:813-817

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:5(558)(supplement):y:2011:i:5(558)(supplement):p:813-817. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Marin Dinu). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.