IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ach/journl/y2015id430.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Long-Term Steel Production Capacity Forecasting Methodology

Author

Listed:
  • A. G. Malanichev
  • I. P. Ilyichev
  • A. J. Pustov

Abstract

Existing techniques of forecasting of the steel-smelting capacities, based on use of the simplified approach to the account of new projects and leading to the overestimated forecasts are presented. It can become the reason of wrong strategic decisions in corporations as level of steel-smelting capacities in the world defines their loading which in turn significantly influences the metal products price. The technique, allowing to predict steel-smelting capacities on the basis of an estimation of probabilities of realisation of new projects is offered. The estimation of probabilities is based on the information on a current stage of realisation of the project, region of an arrangement and an economic condition.

Suggested Citation

  • A. G. Malanichev & I. P. Ilyichev & A. J. Pustov, 2015. "Long-Term Steel Production Capacity Forecasting Methodology," Russian Journal of Industrial Economics, MISIS, issue 2.
    • Handle: RePEc:ach:journl:y:2015:id:430
    DOI: 10.17073/2072-1633-2010-2-16-20
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ecoprom.misis.ru/jour/article/viewFile/430/422
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.17073/2072-1633-2010-2-16-20?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ach:journl:y:2015:id:430. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Главный контакт редакции (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://misis.ru .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.