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Forecasting Of Ship’S Construction Cost By Using The Method Of The Fuzzy Sets Theory

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  • M. Y. Alekhin
  • V. V. Raev

Abstract

In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on fuzzy logic system is proposed. This method has several advantages, including: use of fuzzy initial information for forecasting; increase of the result’s validity due to the potential of use all relevant information for forecasting. In view of the aforesaid it increases the validity of management decisions and has a positive impact on the overall economic sustainability of an enterprise.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Y. Alekhin & V. V. Raev, 2014. "Forecasting Of Ship’S Construction Cost By Using The Method Of The Fuzzy Sets Theory," Strategic decisions and risk management, Real Economy Publishing House, issue 2.
  • Handle: RePEc:abw:journl:y:2014:id:110
    DOI: 10.17747/2078-8886-2012-2-74-80
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