Contradictions Between Globalization And Localization As A Structuring Factor Of Cyclicality In Societal And Economic Development

This article substantiates the central role of the contradiction between globalization and localization in shaping the cyclical nature of socio-economic development. It demonstrates that the most acute manifestation of this contradiction in the current phase of global development is the local-global conflict in Ukraine. The study argues that the contradictions between globalization and localization, once resolved at a certain level and in a specific form, become embedded in the foundation of subsequent phenomena and processes, thereby serving as structure-forming pillars. This mechanism underpins the cyclicality of public-economic development, including its military-economic dimensions. The essence of the contradiction is explored through its characterization as the most developed form of the distinction inherent in jointly-divided labor, alongside the identification of the main historical forms in which these economic contradictions have manifested. The article argues that historical world orders have emerged as generalized forms of resolving this contradiction, based on the construction of structural frameworks that govern the activity of nation-states within global space. It is established that key manifestations of the globalization-localization contradiction include the competition among leading countries for global dominance and the persistence of inter-country inequality. During the crisis-militaristic phases of global cycles, such as long cycles of world politics, Kondratieff cycles, and cycles of hegemony - partial resolutions of these contradictions occur, accompanied by a reconfiguration of the global geopolitical system. The cyclical dynamics of globalization and localization align with long cycles of world politics and cycles of hegemony, particularly their crisis-militaristic phases: during "thirty-year world wars", globalization processes decelerate and become disorganized; following their conclusion, globalization intensifies once again. It is justified that in the modern world system, the deployment of crisis-militaristic phases of global cycles is beginning, taking on hybrid forms, which is primarily manifested in the unleashing of local-global conflicts, the combination of which forms a hybrid form of "global war", after the completion of which a new world order will be established.