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The Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach
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- Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Sharif, Arshian & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "How oil prices, gold prices, uncertainty and risk impact Islamic and conventional stocks? Empirical evidence from QARDL technique," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Gupta, Rangan & Jooste, Charl, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Uncertainty Shocks in India - Gli effetti macroeconomici degli shock di incertezza in India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 68(3), pages 373-383.
- Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2022.
"The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach,"
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(4), pages 1008-1026, March.
- Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & El Montasser, Ghassen & Gupta, Rangan & Manjez, Nangamso C., 2016. "Can debt ceiling and government shutdown predict us real stock returns? A bootstrap rolling window approach. - Gli effetti sui rendimenti azionari reali negli USA del tetto del debito pubblico e del b," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 11-32.
- Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2017.
"Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 536-546.
- Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2017. "Oil Price Shocks and Policy Uncertainty: New Evidence on the Effects of US and non-US Oil Production," Globalization Institute Working Papers 295, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald. A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," Working Papers 2017-02, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2017. "Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty: New evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production," CAMA Working Papers 2017-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Kutan, Ali M. & Yaya, Mehmet E., 2017. "Financial integration in small Islands: The case of Cyprus," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 201-219.
- Białkowski, Jędrzej & Dang, Huong Dieu & Wei, Xiaopeng, 2022. "High policy uncertainty and low implied market volatility: An academic puzzle?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1185-1208.
- Çekin, Semih Emre & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2020.
"Measuring co-dependencies of economic policy uncertainty in Latin American countries using vine copulas,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 207-217.
- Semih Emre Cekin & Ashis Kumar Pradhan & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Measuring Co-Dependencies of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Latin American Countries using Vine Copulas," Working Papers 201867, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Zhu, Xuehong & Chen, Ying & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Effects of non-ferrous metal prices and uncertainty on industry stock market under different market conditions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Xu, Yongan & Wang, Jianqiong & Chen, Zhonglu & Liang, Chao, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: New evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Muhammad Asif Khan & Masood Ahmed & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2020. "US Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Nexus Revisited through Dynamic ARDL Simulation and Threshold Modelling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-20, November.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Godwin Oluseye Olasehinde-Williams & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2019.
"Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium: the impact of monetary policy uncertainty on insurance premiums in Japan,"
International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 12(3), pages 233-247.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "Asymmetric Dynamics of Insurance Premium: The Impact of Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Insurance Premiums in Japan," Working Papers 15-39, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Liu, Li & Zhang, Tao, 2015. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 99-105.
- Oluwatomisin J. Oyewole & Idowu A. Adubiagbe & Oluwasegun B. Adekoya, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock returns among OPEC members: evidence from feasible quasi-generalized least squares," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
- Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
- Guan, Jialin & Xu, Huijuan & Huo, Da & Hua, Yechun & Wang, Yunfeng, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and corporate innovation: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Yifei Cai, 2018. "Predictive Power of us Monetary Policy Uncertainty Shock on Stock Returns in Australia and New Zealand," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 470-488, December.
- Tihana Škrinjarić & Zrinka Orlović, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Spillovers: Case of Selected CEE Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-33, July.
- Ahmad, Wasim & Sharma, Sumit Kumar, 2018. "Testing output gap and economic uncertainty as an explicator of stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-306.
- Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti, 2015. "Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock returns in China," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 23(4), pages 657-676, October.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
- Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2021. "Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020.
"Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "EPU spillovers and stock return predictability: A cross-country study," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Wang, Kai-Hua & Zhao, Yan-Xin & Jiang, Cui-Feng & Li, Zheng-Zheng, 2022. "Does green finance inspire sustainable development? Evidence from a global perspective," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 412-426.
- Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Zhang, Hongwei & Liu, Jia & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among within and cross-country policy uncertainty, crude oil and gold market: Evidence from US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Ngo Thai Hung, 2021. "Directional Spillover Effects Between BRICS Stock Markets and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 429-448, September.
- Dang, Dandan & Fang, Hongsheng & He, Minyuan, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty, tax quotas and corporate tax burden: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
- Dakhlaoui, Imen & Aloui, Chaker, 2016.
"The interactive relationship between the US economic policy uncertainty and BRIC stock markets,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 141-157.
- Imen Dakhlaoui & Chaker Aloui, 2016. "The Interactive Relationship Between the US Economic Policy Uncertainty and BRIC Stock Markets," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 146, pages 141-157.
- Abdullah Açık & Özhan Okutucu & Kamil Özden Efes & Sadık Özlen Başer, 2021. "Analyzing the Impact of Interest Rate on Dry Bulk Freight Market with Time-Varying Causality Method," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 6(2), pages 403-417.
- Vamsidhar Ambatipudi & Dilip Kumar, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Versus Sector Volatility: Evidence from India Using Multi-scale Wavelet Granger Causality Analysis," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 184-210, June.
- Nanthakumar LOGANATHAN & Suraya ISMAIL & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Asan Ali Golam HASSAN & Edmundas Kazimieras ZAVADSKAS & Abbas MARDANI, 2017. "Tax Reform, Inflation, Financial Development And Economic Growth In Malaysia," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 152-165, December.
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
- Sun, Yunpeng & Bao, Qun & Lu, Zhou, 2021. "Coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak, investor sentiment, and medical portfolio: Evidence from China, Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, and U.S," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023.
"Policy uncertainty and stock market volatility revisited: The predictive role of signal quality,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2307-2321, December.
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Ahmed, Maruf Yakubu & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty regimes affect commodity market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Gabriel Caldas Montes & Igor Mendes Marcelino, 2023. "Uncertainties and disagreements in expectations of professional forecasters: Evidence from an inflation targeting developing country," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 937-956, July.
- Chen, Wen-Yi & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2022. "Twitter’s daily happiness sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and stock index fluctuations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Tang, Wenjin & Ding, Saijie & Chen, Hao, 2021. "Economic uncertainty and its spillover networks: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Huabin Bian & Renhai Hua & Qingfu Liu & Ping Zhang, 2022. "Petroleum market volatility tracker in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(11), pages 2022-2040, November.
- Yao, Can-Zhong & Sun, Bo-Yi, 2018. "The study on the tail dependence structure between the economic policy uncertainty and several financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 245-265.
- Li, Mangmang & Cao, Yuqiang & Lu, Meiting & Wang, Hongjian, 2021. "Political uncertainty and allocation of decision rights among business groups: Evidence from the replacement of municipal officials," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022.
"How does economic policy uncertainty comove with stock markets: New evidence from symmetric thermal optimal path method,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
- Ying-Hui Shao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty comove with stock markets: New evidence from symmetric thermal optimal path method," Papers 2106.04421, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti, 2014. "Policy Uncertainty in China, Oil Shocks and Stock Returns," CAMA Working Papers 2014-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chow Sheung-Chi & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wong Wing-Keung, 2018.
"Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
- Sheung-Chi Chow & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2016. "Causal Relationships between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Housing Market Returns in China and India: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Panel and Time Series Models," Working Papers 201674, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Kubra Saka Ilgin, 2022. "Examining the Relationship Between National Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Indices: An Empirical Analysis for Selected European Countries," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 455-474, July.
- OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Nurudeen Abu & Tayo P. Ogundunmade, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in G7 countries: evidence of long-range dependence and cointegration," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 541-556, May.
- Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Lei, Adrian C.H. & Song, Chen, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Emrah İ. Çevik & Erdal Atukeren & Turhan Korkmaz, 2019. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Turkey: A Rolling Frequency Domain Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-16, May.
- Kang, Wensheng & Perez de Gracia, Fernando & Ratti, Ronald A., 2017. "Oil price shocks, policy uncertainty, and stock returns of oil and gas corporations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 344-359.
- Hammami, Algia & Ghenimi, Ameni & Bouri, Abdelfatteh, 2019. "Oil prices, US exchange rates, and stock market: evidence from Jordan as a net oil importer," MPRA Paper 94570, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.
- Chuliá, Helena & Gupta, Rangan & Uribe, Jorge M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017.
"Impact of US uncertainties on emerging and mature markets: Evidence from a quantile-vector autoregressive approach,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 178-191.
- Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Gajdka, Jerzy & Kutan, Ali M., 2015. "Investor response to public news, sentiment and institutional trading in emerging markets: A review," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 338-352.
- Huang, Wei-Ling & Lin, Wen-Yuan & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
- Kundu, Srikanta & Paul, Amartya, 2022. "Effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock market return and volatility under heterogeneous market characteristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 597-612.
- Azimli, Asil, 2022. "The impact of policy, political and economic uncertainty on corporate capital investment in the emerging markets of Eastern Europe and Turkey," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(2).
- Cristiane Gea & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Luciano Vereda & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto, 2023. "Pricing uncertainty in the Brazilian stock market: do size and sustainability matter?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-37, January.
- Al Mamun, Md & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
- Alqahtani Abdullah & Taillard Michael, 2019. "The Impact of US Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock on GCC Stock Market Performance," Asian Journal of Law and Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(2), pages 1-13, August.
- Kang, Wensheng & de Gracia, Fernando Perez & Ratti, Ronald A., 2019. "The asymmetric response of gasoline prices to oil price shocks and policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 66-79.
- Zhu, Huiming & Chen, Weiyan & Hau, Liya & Chen, Qitong, 2021. "Time-frequency connectedness of crude oil, economic policy uncertainty and Chinese commodity markets: Evidence from rolling window analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Jiang, Yonghong & Zhu, Zixuan & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2019. "Determinants of within and cross-country economic policy uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from US and China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
- Wen-Yi Chen, 2017. "Demographic structure and monetary policy effectiveness: evidence from Taiwan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(6), pages 2521-2544, November.
- Li, Xiao-Lin & Yan, Jing & Wei, Xiaohui, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness among monetary policy cycle, financial cycle and business cycle in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 640-652.
- Geoffrey M. Ngene & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Impact of Housing Policy Uncertainty on Herding Behavior: Evidence from UK's Regional Housing Markets," Working Papers 202115, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Khadka, Savin & Gopinath, Munisamy & Batarseh, Feras A., 2022. "Anomalies and Recoveries in Agricultural Trade," Commissioned Papers 329520, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
- Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
- Zhang, Weike & Zhang, Xueyuan & Tian, Xiaoli & Sun, Fengwei, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty nexus with corporate risk-taking: The role of state ownership and corruption expenditure," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Liow, Kim Hiang & Liao, Wen-Chi & Huang, Yuting, 2018. "Dynamics of international spillovers and interaction: Evidence from financial market stress and economic policy uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 96-116.
- Yin, Xiao-Cui & Li, Xin & Wang, Min-Hui & Qin, Meng & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Do economic policy uncertainty and its components predict China's housing returns?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Si, Deng-Kui & Zhao, Bing & Li, Xiao-Lin & Ding, Hui, 2021. "Policy uncertainty and sectoral stock market volatility in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 557-573.
- Isiaka Akande Raifu, 2023. "Examining structural stability and time-varying causality between economic policy uncertainty and Asia-Pacific Islamic stock price," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 28-37.
- Zhang, Dayong & Lei, Lei & Ji, Qiang & Kutan, Ali M., 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty in the US and China and their impact on the global markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 47-56.