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Stock market volatility and business cycle: Evidence from linear and nonlinear causality tests

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Cited by:

  1. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhang, Xiaotong & Li, Tingyu, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility in data-rich environment: A new powerful predictor," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  2. Fenghua Wen & Jihong Xiao & Chuangxia Huang & Xiaohua Xia, 2018. "Interaction between oil and US dollar exchange rate: nonlinear causality, time-varying influence and structural breaks in volatility," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 319-334, January.
  3. Guochang Wang & Wai Keung Li & Ke Zhu, 2018. "New HSIC-based tests for independence between two stationary multivariate time series," Papers 1804.09866, arXiv.org.
  4. Dai, Zhifeng & Chang, Xiaoming, 2021. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Can the risk aversion measure exert an important role?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  5. Zouhaier Dhifaoui & Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2023. "Time‐varying partial‐directed coherence approach to forecast global energy prices with stochastic volatility model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2292-2306, December.
  6. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "The predictability of stock market volatility in emerging economies: Relative roles of local, regional, and global business cycles," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 957-965, September.
  7. Andrea Bucci, 2020. "Realized Volatility Forecasting with Neural Networks," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 502-531.
  8. Cheng, Sheng & Cao, Yan, 2019. "On the relation between global food and crude oil prices: An empirical investigation in a nonlinear framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 422-432.
  9. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2019. "Revising the Impact of Global Commodity Prices and Global Stock Market Volatility Shocks: Effects across Countries," MPRA Paper 103035, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  10. Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  11. Si, Deng-Kui & Liu, Xi-Hua & Kong, Xianli, 2019. "The comovement and causality between stock market cycle and business cycle in China: Evidence from a wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 17-30.
  12. Lu, Fei & Ma, Feng & Guo, Qiang, 2023. "Less is more? New evidence from stock market volatility predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  13. Chen, Na & Jin, Xiu & Zhuang, Xintian & Yuan, Ying, 2020. "Spatial pricing with multiple risk transmission channels and specific factors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
  14. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Evolving United States stock market volatility: The role of conventional and unconventional monetary policies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  15. Guo, Yangli & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Lai, Xiaodong, 2022. "Oil price volatility predictability based on global economic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  16. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Equity Return Dispersion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Multivariate Linear and Nonlinear Causality Tests," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-15, January.
  17. Chao Liang & Feng Ma & Lu Wang & Qing Zeng, 2021. "The information content of uncertainty indices for natural gas futures volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1310-1324, November.
  18. Juan Laborda & Sonia Ruano & Ignacio Zamanillo, 2023. "Multi-Country and Multi-Horizon GDP Forecasting Using Temporal Fusion Transformers," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-26, June.
  19. Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Financial turbulence, systemic risk and the predictability of stock market volatility," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  20. Chen, Guojin & Liu, Yanzhen & Zhang, Yu, 2021. "Systemic risk measures and distribution forecasting of macroeconomic shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 178-196.
  21. Li Rong Wang & Hsuan Fu & Xiuyi Fan, 2023. "Stock Price Predictability and the Business Cycle via Machine Learning," Papers 2304.09937, arXiv.org.
  22. Zhifang He & Fangzhao Zhou, 2018. "Time-varying and asymmetric effects of the oil-specific demand shock on investor sentiment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(8), pages 1-18, August.
  23. Shi, Guangping & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2020. "Stock price fluctuation and the business cycle in the BRICS countries: A nonparametric quantiles causality approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
  24. Lu, Fei & Ma, Feng & Li, Pan & Huang, Dengshi, 2022. "Natural gas volatility predictability in a data-rich world," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  25. Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  26. Wang, Yilei & Cheng, Sheng & Cao, Yan, 2022. "How does economic policy uncertainty respond to the global oil price fluctuations? Evidence from BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  27. Yin, Kedong & Liu, Zhe & Jin, Xue, 2020. "Interindustry volatility spillover effects in China’s stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 539(C).
  28. Fan, Lina & Yang, Hao & Zhai, Jia & Zhang, Xiaotao, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility during the stock market crash period: The role of Hawkes process," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
  29. Chao Zhang & Xingyue Pu & Mihai Cucuringu & Xiaowen Dong, 2023. "Graph Neural Networks for Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility with Spillover Effects," Papers 2308.01419, arXiv.org.
  30. Liow, Kim Hiang & Song, Jeongseop, 2020. "Dynamic interdependence of ASEAN5 with G5 stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  31. Demirer, Riza & Yuksel, Aydin & Yuksel, Asli, 2020. "Oil price uncertainty, global industry returns and active investment strategies," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
  32. Fang, Tong & Lee, Tae-Hwy & Su, Zhi, 2020. "Predicting the long-term stock market volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS model with variable selection," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 36-49.
  33. Vespignani, Joaquin & Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald, 2018. "Global Commodity Prices and Global Stock Volatility Shocks," MPRA Paper 84250, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  34. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2020. "Global commodity prices and global stock market volatility shocks: Effects across countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  35. Ma, Feng & Guo, Yangli & Chevallier, Julien & Huang, Dengshi, 2022. "Macroeconomic attention, economic policy uncertainty, and stock volatility predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  36. Vera Ivanyuk, 2021. "Modeling of Crisis Processes in the Financial Market," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, October.
  37. Sherif, Mohamed, 2020. "The impact of Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak on faith-based investments: An original analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  38. Borjigin, Sumuya & Yang, Yating & Yang, Xiaoguang & Sun, Leilei, 2018. "Econometric testing on linear and nonlinear dynamic relation between stock prices and macroeconomy in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 107-115.
  39. Kim Hiang LIOW & Jeongseop SONG, 2019. "Market Integration Among the US and Asian Real Estate Investment Trusts in Crisis Times," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 463-512.
  40. Xiao-Lin Li & Yi-Na Li & Lu Bai, 2019. "Stock Market Cycle and Business Cycle in China: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 17, pages 35-50, August.
  41. Malibongwe Cyprian Nyati & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi & Christian Kakese Tipoy, 2023. "Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Interactions and Coordination in South Africa: Evidence from Business and Financial Cycle Synchronisation," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-23, November.
  42. Zainudin, Ahmad Danial & Mohamad, Azhar, 2021. "Cross hedging with stock index futures," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 128-144.
  43. Guo, Yangli & He, Feng & Liang, Chao & Ma, Feng, 2022. "Oil price volatility predictability: New evidence from a scaled PCA approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
  44. Feng, Jiabao & Wang, Yudong & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Oil volatility risk and stock market volatility predictability: Evidence from G7 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 240-254.
  45. McIver, Ron P. & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Financial crises and the dynamics of the spillovers between the U.S. and BRICS stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  46. Nikolaos Stoupos & Apostolos Kiohos, 2021. "BREXIT referendum’s impact on the financial markets in the UK," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(1), pages 1-19, February.
  47. Uddin, Moshfique & Chowdhury, Anup & Anderson, Keith & Chaudhuri, Kausik, 2021. "The effect of COVID – 19 pandemic on global stock market volatility: Can economic strength help to manage the uncertainty?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 31-44.
  48. Cao, Yufei, 2022. "Extreme risk spillovers across financial markets under different crises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  49. Wang, Jiqian & Ma, Feng & Wang, Tianyang & Wu, Lan, 2023. "International stock volatility predictability: New evidence from uncertainties," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  50. Feng He & Libo Yin, 2021. "Shocks to the equity capital ratio of financial intermediaries and the predictability of stock return volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 945-962, September.
  51. Yin, Libo & Feng, Jiabao & Han, Liyan, 2021. "Systemic risk in international stock markets: Role of the oil market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 592-619.
  52. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Oil and the short-term predictability of stock return volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 90-104.
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