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Trade protection during the crisis: Does it deter foreign direct investment?

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  • Görg, Holger
  • Labonte, Philipp

Abstract

This paper looks empirically at the implications that protectionist measures implemented during the current crisis may have had for a country's ability to attract foreign direct investment. The research utilizes data on such measures that is available from Global Trade Alert, combined with bilateral FDI data between OECD countries and a large number of partner countries for 2006 to 2009. This allows us to examine the short run effect that protectionist measures may have had on bilateral FDI flows. The verdict from this analysis is clear: a country that implements new protectionist measures may expect that this may result in lower foreign direct investment inflows into the economy. The point estimates from our preferred specifications suggest that, depending on the empirical model, the implementation of a trade protection measure is associated with about 40 to 80 percent lower FDI inflows. Trade protection does not appear to have any implications for the country's FDI outflows, however. The negative effect on FDI inflows does not appear to be due to direct investment measures but rather to actions related to intellectual property rights protection and other more trade related measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Görg, Holger & Labonte, Philipp, 2011. "Trade protection during the crisis: Does it deter foreign direct investment?," Kiel Working Papers 1687, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1687
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Campa, Joe Manuel, 1993. "Entry by Foreign Firms in the United States under Exchange Rate Uncertainty," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(4), pages 614-622, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marta Anna GÖTZ, 2015. "Pursuing FDI policy in the EU – Member States and their policy space," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 290-308, June.
    2. Liu, Zhiyuan & Xu, Yue & Wang, Peijie & Akamavi, Raphaël, 2016. "A pendulum gravity model of outward FDI and export," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(6), pages 1356-1371.
    3. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2022. "Does poverty deter foreign direct investment flows to developing countries?," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 297-330, February.
    4. Sjöholm, Fredrik, 2021. "Industrial Policy and Foreign Direct Investment," Working Paper Series 1400, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    5. Werner Roeger & Paul J. J. Welfens, 2022. "The macroeconomic effects of import tariffs in a model with multinational firms and foreign direct investment," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 245-266, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; protection; financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations

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