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Zur Schwäche des Welthandels

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  • Jannsen, Nils

Abstract

Der Welthandel hat im Jahr 2011 spürbar an Dynamik eingebüßt und expandiert seitdem mit recht niedrigen Raten. Zwar ging diese Entwicklung mit einer sich weltweit verlangsamenden Konjunktur einher. Allerdings entwickelte sich der Welthandel noch schwächer als es gemäß historischer Erfahrungen bei einem solchen Anstieg des weltweiten Bruttoinlandsprodukts zu erwarten gewesen wäre. Vor diesem Hintergrund stellt sich die Frage, ob sich der Zusammenhang zwischen Welthandel und Weltproduktion dauerhaft geändert hat oder ob es sich um ein vorübergehendes Phänomen handelt.

Suggested Citation

  • Jannsen, Nils, 2014. "Zur Schwäche des Welthandels," Kiel Insight 2014.7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:20147
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anderton, Robert & Tewolde, Tadios, 2011. "The global financial crisis: trying to understand the global trade downturn and recovery," Working Paper Series 1370, European Central Bank.
    2. Freund, Caroline, 2009. "The trade response to global downturns : historical evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5015, The World Bank.
    3. Robert Anderton & Tadios Tewolde, 2011. "The Global Financial Crisis: Understanding the Global Trade Downturn and Recovery," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34, pages 741-763, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Kooths, Stefan & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2016 - Weltkonjunktur gewinnt vorerst nur wenig Schwung [World Economy Autumn 2016 - World economic growth to pick up only gradually]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 21, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2016 - Potenzialwachstum überschreitet Zenit," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 24, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2016 - Getrübte Aussichten für die Weltkonjunktur [World Economy Spring 2016 - Clouded outlook for the world economy]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2016 - Potenzialwachstum vor Zwischenhoch," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 18, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2017. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2017 - Weltwirtschaft im Aufschwung [World Economy Autumn 2017 - World economy in full swing]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 33, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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