IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/yon/wpaper/2023rwp-211.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Functional Data Inference in a Parametric Quantile Model applied to Lifetime Income Curves

Author

Listed:
  • JIN SEO CHO

    (Yonsei University)

  • PETER C. B. PHILLIPS

    (Yale University)

  • JUWON SEO

    (National University of Singapore)

Abstract

A parametric quantile function estimation procedure is developed for functional data. The approach involves minimizing the sum of integrated functional distances that measure the functional gap between each functional observation and the quantile curve in terms of the check function. The procedure is validated under both correctly specified and misspecified models by allowing for the presence of nuisance parameter estimation effects. Testing methodology is developed using Wald, Lagrange multiplier, and quasi-likelihood ratio procedures in this functional data setting. Finite sample performance is assessed using simulations and the methodology is applied to study how lifetime income paths differ between genders and among different education levels using continuous work history samples. The methodology enables the analysis of full career income paths with temporal and possibly persistent dependence structures embodied in the observations.The results capture both gender and education effects but these empirical differences are shown to be mitigated upon rescaling to take account of lifetime experience and job mobility.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2023. "Functional Data Inference in a Parametric Quantile Model applied to Lifetime Income Curves," Working papers 2023rwp-211, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:yon:wpaper:2023rwp-211
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://121.254.254.220/repec/yon/wpaper/2023rwp-211.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicodemo, Catia, 2009. "Gender Pay Gap and Quantile Regression in European Families," IZA Discussion Papers 3978, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Degui Li & Peter M. Robinson & Han Lin Shang, 2020. "Long-Range Dependent Curve Time Series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(530), pages 957-971, April.
    3. Kehui Chen & Hans‐Georg Müller, 2012. "Conditional quantile analysis when covariates are functions, with application to growth data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 74(1), pages 67-89, January.
    4. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2022. "Parametric Conditional Mean Inference With Functional Data Applied To Lifetime Income Curves," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(1), pages 391-456, February.
    5. Crambes, Christophe & Gannoun, Ali & Henchiri, Yousri, 2013. "Support vector machine quantile regression approach for functional data: Simulation and application studies," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 50-68.
    6. Erling Barth & James Davis & Richard B. Freeman, 2018. "Augmenting the Human Capital Earnings Equation with Measures of Where People Work," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36(S1), pages 71-97.
    7. Manudeep Bhuller & Magne Mogstad & Kjell G. Salvanes, 2017. "Life-Cycle Earnings, Education Premiums, and Internal Rates of Return," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 35(4), pages 993-1030.
    8. Thierry Magnac & Nicolas Pistolesi & Sébastien Roux, 2018. "Post-Schooling Human Capital Investments and the Life Cycle of Earnings," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(3), pages 1219-1249.
    9. Peter C. B. Phillips, 2015. "Halbert White Jr. Memorial JFEC Lecture: Pitfalls and Possibilities in Predictive Regression†," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 521-555.
    10. Newey, Whitney K, 1991. "Uniform Convergence in Probability and Stochastic Equicontinuity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(4), pages 1161-1167, July.
    11. Javier Gardeazabal & Arantza Ugidos, 2005. "Gender wage discrimination at quantiles," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 165-179, July.
    12. Peter C. B. Phillips, 2015. "Pitfalls and Possibilities in Predictive Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2003, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    13. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    14. Light, Audrey & Ureta, Manuelita, 1995. "Early-Career Work Experience and Gender Wage Differentials," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 13(1), pages 121-154, January.
    15. Oberhofer, Walter & Haupt, Harry, 2016. "Asymptotic Theory For Nonlinear Quantile Regression Under Weak Dependence," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(3), pages 686-713, June.
    16. Jacob Mincer, 1958. "Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66(4), pages 281-281.
    17. Huizinga, Frederik, 1990. " An Overlapping Generations Model of Wage Determination," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 92(1), pages 81-98.
    18. David H. Autor & Lawrence F. Katz & Alan B. Krueger, 1998. "Computing Inequality: Have Computers Changed the Labor Market?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(4), pages 1169-1213.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2019. "Parametric Inference on the Mean of Functional Data Applied to Lifetime Income Curves," Working papers 2019rwp-153, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    2. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2022. "Parametric Conditional Mean Inference With Functional Data Applied To Lifetime Income Curves," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(1), pages 391-456, February.
    3. Zongwu Cai & Seong Yeon Chang, 2018. "A New Test In A Predictive Regression with Structural Breaks," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201811, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2018.
    4. Jin Seo Cho & Meng Huang & Halbert White, 2021. "Testing a Constant Mean Function Using Functional Regression," Working papers 2021rwp-190, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    5. Das, Tirthatanmoy & Polachek, Solomon, 2017. "Micro Foundations of Earnings Differences," IZA Discussion Papers 10922, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Cardak, Buly A. & Martin, Vance L., 2023. "Household willingness to take financial risk: Stockmarket movements and life‐cycle effects," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    7. Robin Döttling & Tomislav Ladika & Enrico Perotti, 2016. "The (Self-)Funding of Intangibles," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-093/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    8. Zongwu Cai & Haiqiang Chen & Xiaosai Liao, 2020. "A New Robust Inference for Predictive Quantile Regression," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202002, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
    9. Damgaard, Mette Trier & Nielsen, Helena Skyt, 2018. "Nudging in education," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 313-342.
    10. Barth, Erling & Davis, James C. & Freeman, Richard B. & McElheran, Kristina, 2023. "Twisting the demand curve: Digitalization and the older workforce," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(2), pages 443-467.
    11. Dupuy, Arnaud & Marey, Philip S., 2008. "Shifts and twists in the relative productivity of skilled labor," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 718-735, June.
    12. Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2021. "Consistent inference for predictive regressions in persistent economic systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 215-244.
    13. Chzhen, Yekaterina & Mumford, Karen, 2011. "Gender gaps across the earnings distribution for full-time employees in Britain: Allowing for sample selection," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 837-844.
    14. Stephan Kampelmann & François Rycx, 2012. "Are Occupations Paid What They are Worth? An Econometric Study of Occupational Wage Inequality and Productivity," De Economist, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 257-287, September.
    15. Solomon Polachek, 2003. "Mincer's Overtaking Point and the Life Cycle Earnings Distribution," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 273-304, December.
    16. Rosalia Castellano & Gaetano Musella & Gennaro Punzo, 2019. "Exploring changes in the employment structure and wage inequality in Western Europe using the unconditional quantile regression," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 249-304, May.
    17. Ghysels, Eric & Guay, Alain, 2004. "Testing For Structural Change In The Presence Of Auxiliary Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(6), pages 1168-1202, December.
    18. Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2022. "Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 429-460.
    19. Cai, Zongwu & Chen, Haiqiang & Liao, Xiaosai, 2023. "A new robust inference for predictive quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 227-250.
    20. Rolf Aaberge & Magne Mogstad, 2015. "Inequality in current and lifetime income," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 44(2), pages 217-230, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Functional data; quantile function; nuisance effects; quantile inference; lifetime income path; gender and education effects.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:yon:wpaper:2023rwp-211. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: YERI (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/eryonkr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.