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Beta Risk and Regime Shift in Market Volatility

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Author Info
Roland Shami (Monash University)
Don U.A. Galagedera (Monash University)

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Abstract

In this paper, we relate the returns in the thirty securities in the Dow Jones index to regime shifts in stock market volatility. We apply a Markov switching process of order one to market volatility and examine the variation in the securities' returns in different volatility regimes. We test the significance of the risk premium in different market regimes and we find evidence of relationship between market volatility and securities beta risk.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Finance with number 0406012.

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Length: 19 pages
Date of creation: 23 Jun 2004
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0406012

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 19
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Markov regime-switching; market volatility; beta risk;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, 1988. "A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(1), pages 116-31, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Pettengill, Glenn N. & Sundaram, Sridhar & Mathur, Ike, 1995. "The Conditional Relation between Beta and Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(01), pages 101-116, March. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain, 1992. "Qualitative threshold ARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 159-199. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Fraser, P. & Hamelink, F. & Hoesli, M. & MacGregor, B., 2000. "Time-Varying Betas and Cross-Sectional Return-Risk Relation: Evidence from the UK," Papers 2000.03, Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales, Universite de Geneve-.
  5. Don U.A. Galagedera & Robert Faff, 2004. "Modelling the Risk and Return Relation Conditional on Market Volatility and Market Conditions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Kim, Moon K. & Zumwalt, J. Kenton, 1979. "An Analysis of Risk in Bull and Bear Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(05), pages 1015-1025, December. [Downloadable!]
  7. Faff, Robert, 2001. "A Multivariate Test of a Dual-Beta CAPM: Australian Evidence," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 36(4), pages 157-74, November.
  8. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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