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Testing for Unit Roots: Mexico's GDP

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Author Info
Alejandro Diaz-Bautista (COLEF)
Ramon A. Castillo Ponce (Bank of Mexico)

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Abstract

The study presents an analysis of the stochastic nature of the gross domestic product of Mexico for the period 1900-2001. Several specifications to test for the existence of unit roots are presented. The conventional tests, Dickey Fuller, Augmented Dickey Fuller and Phillips Perron, indicate that the series is nonstationary and integrated of order 1. The result is robust to the inclusion of exogenously and endogenously determined structural breaks. Interestingly, when structural breaks are determined endogenously, a structural break in 1907 is identified. We interpret this results as suggesting that setting the date of a structural break ex-ante might not be the most efficient procedure when testing for unit roots.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/em/papers/0306/0306007.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Econometrics with number 0306007.

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Length: 10 pages
Date of creation: 14 Jun 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:0306007

Note: Type of Document - ; pages: 10 . Paper published at Momento Economico
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Unit Root tests; structural Break and gross domestic product of Mexico.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Microeconomic Data
F49 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Other
R38 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Production Analysis and Firm Location - - - Government Policies; Regulatory Policies
C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - General
C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing

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  1. Ramon A. CASTILLO PONCE & Ramon de Jesus RAMIREZ ACOSTA, 2008. "Economic Integration In North America," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(2), pages 111-122. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-20.


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