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U-shaped Paths of Consumption and Physical Capital in Lucas-type Growth Models

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Farhad Nili (Keele University, UK)

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Abstract

This paper considers transitional dynamics of consumption and physical capital in Lucas-type growth models. We find that when the ratio of physical to human capital is sufficiently high, it is optimal for both consumption and physical capital to fall for a finite period and then rise along their transition paths. Endogenous growth models may therefore not be able to generate a sustainable path of development when the steady state coexists with the transitional dynamics. According to the extent of consumption smoothing, we characterize the stages of transition in three different growth regimes. Particularly in the normal and paradoxical cases, dynamics of the Lucas model is contrasted with that of Ramsey.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Development and Comp Systems with number 0211002.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: 05 Nov 2002
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0211002

Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on pc; pages: 30
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Keywords: Lucas growth model transitional dynamics physical to human capital ratio sustainability

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O41 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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  1. Mulligan, Casey B & Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, 1993. "Transitional Dynamics in Two-Sector Models of Endogenous Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 739-73, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Eric W. Bond & Ping Wang & Chong K. Yip, 1993. "A general two-sector model of endogenous growth with human and physical capital: balanced growth and transitional dynamics," Research Paper 9324, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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  3. Eric W. Bond & Ping Wang & Chong K. Yip, 1993. "A general two sector model of endogenous growth with human and physical capital," Research Paper 9303, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  4. Hanley, Nick, 2000. " Macroeconomic Measures of 'Sustainability.'," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 14(1), pages 1-30, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Ortigueira, Salvador, 1998. "Fiscal policy in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 323-355, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Ladron-de-Guevara, Antonio & Ortigueira, Salvador & Santos, Manuel S., 1997. "Equilibrium dynamics in two-sector models of endogenous growth," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 115-143, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Pedro Garcia-Castrillo & Marcos Sanso, 2000. "Human Capital and Optimal Policy in a Lucas-type Model," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 3(4), pages 757-770, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Robert E. Lucas, Jr., 1989. "On the Mechanics of Economic Development," NBER Reprints 1176, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  9. Caballe, Jordi & Santos, Manuel S, 1993. "On Endogenous Growth with Physical and Human Capital," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(6), pages 1042-67, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Raouf Boucekkine & Ramon Ruiz Tamarit, 2004. "Imbalance Effects in the Lucas Model: an Analytical Exploration," Topics in Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 4(1), pages 1232-1232. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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