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Modeling The Economic Growth In Romania. The Role Of Human Capital

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Author Info
Altar, Moisa () (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest;)
Necula, Ciprian () (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest;)
Bobeica, Gabriel () (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest;)

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Abstract

We simulate possible growth paths assuming that the Romanian economy behaves according to the hypothesis of the Uzawa-Lucas model. By calibrating the model to the Romanian economy, we are able to forecast the evolution of the Romanian GDP and the proportion of human capital which will be used in the production of goods and services. Although the population growth rate is considered to be zero, the average real GDP growth rate is around 6% due to the human capital accumulation, which improves the quality of labor.

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File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef3_08/rjef3_08_7.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Romanian Journal for Economic Forecasting.

Volume (Year): 5 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 115-128
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Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:5:y:2008:i:3:p:115-128

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Related research
Keywords: endogenous economic growth; human capital; two-sector economy; path simulation; Uzawa-Lucas model;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
O41 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

References listed on IDEAS
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