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Africa's rising inflation : causes, consequences, and cures

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Author Info
Chhibber, Ajay
Abstract

This paper provides an analytical and selective empirical survey of inflation in sub-Saharan Africa. It begins with an empirical assessment of inflation in Africa using various price indicators, and then looks at the major instruments of anti-inflationary policy. Instead of listing each instrument, the paper attempts to distinguish countries by broad policy regimes into four categories. A common generalized model of inflation is set-up, and each policy regime is shown to be a special case of that general model. The four prototypes classified are: (a) the CFA franc zone model of pegged exchange rates, open capital account and no price controls; (b) fixed-but-adjusting exchange rates, with closed capital account and some selective price controls; (c) fixed-but-adjusting exchange rates with widespread parallel markets, closed capital account and selective price controls; and (d) dual exchange rates, closed capital account but with extensive and effective pricecontrols. It uses the results from various empirical studies to examine the issues of policy coordination and sequencing that arise under each of the policy regimes. The paper particularly focuses on the interaction of exchange rate policy and inflation in view of the recent debate on this subject. It also examines the question of unravelling price controls and its implication for exchange rate, monetary and fiscal policy and financial sector reforms.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 577.

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Date of creation: 28 Feb 1991
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:577

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Keywords: Economic Theory&Research; Environmental Economics&Policies; Access to Markets; Markets and Market Access; Economic Stabilization;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Saini, Krishan G., 1982. "The monetarist explanation of inflation: The experience of six Asian countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 10(10), pages 871-884, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Devarajan, Shantayanan & de Melo, Jaime, 1990. "Membership in the CFA zone : Odyssean journey or Trojan horse?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 482, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Rattan J. Bhatia, 1985. "The West African Monetary Union An Analytical Review," IMF Occasional Papers 35, International Monetary Fund.
  4. Devarajan, Shantayanan & de Melo, Jaime, 1987. "Evaluating participation in African monetary unions: A statistical analysis of the CFA Zones," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 483-496, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Kiguel, Miguel A & Liviatan, Nissan, 1988. "Inflationary Rigidities and Orthodox Stabilization Policies: Lessons from Latin America," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(3), pages 273-98, September.
  6. Honohan, Patrick, 1990. "Monetary cooperation in the CFA zone," Policy Research Working Paper Series 389, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  7. Darrat, Ali F., 1986. "Money, inflation, and causality in the North African Countries: An empirical investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 87-103. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Blejer, Mario I. & Cheasty, Adrienne, 1988. "High inflation, heterodox stabilization, and fiscal policy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 16(8), pages 867-881, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Feltenstein, Andrew & Ha, Jiming, 1991. "Measurement of repressed inflation in China : The lack of coordination between monetary policy and price controls," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 279-294, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Honohan, Patrick, 1992. "Price and monetary convergence in currency unions: The franc and rand zones," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 397-410, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Feltenstein, Andrew & Farhadian, Ziba, 1987. "Fiscal Policy, Monetary Targets, and the Price Level in a Centrally Planned Economy: An Application to the Case of China," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 19(2), pages 137-56, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Dornbusch, Rudiger, et al, 1983. "The Black Market for Dollars in Brazil," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 98(1), pages 25-40, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Elbadawi, Ibrahim & Majd, Nader, 1992. "Fixed parity of the exchange rate and economic performance in the CFA zone : a comparative study," Policy Research Working Paper Series 830, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Elbadawi, Ibrahim A., 1992. "World Bank adjustment lending and economic performance in sub-Saharan Africa in the 1980s : a comparison of early adjusters, late adjusters, and nonadjusters," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1001, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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