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The Value of Waiting: Foreign Direct Investment with Uncertainty and Imperfect Local Knowledge

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Author Info
Yongil Jeon (Central Michigan University)
Taekwon Kim (Yonsei University)
Stephen M. Miller (University of Connecticut and University of Nevada, Las Vegas)

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Abstract

This paper examines the role of uncertainty and imperfect local knowledge in foreign direct investment. The main idea comes from the literature on investment under uncertainty, such as Pindyck (1991) and Dixit and Pindyck (1994). We empirically test .the value of waiting. with a dataset on foreign direct investment (FDI). Many factors (e.g., political and economic regulations) as well as uncertainty and the risks due to imperfect local knowledge, determine the attractiveness of FDI. The uncertainty and irreversibility of FDI links the time interval between permission and actual execution of such FDI with explanatory variables, including information on foreign (home) countries and domestic industries. Common factors, such as regulatory change and external shocks, may affect the uncertainty when foreign investors make irreversible FDI decisions. We derive testable hypotheses from models of investment under uncertainty to determine those possible factors that induce delays in FDI, using Korean data over 1962 to 2001.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Connecticut, Department of Economics in its series Working papers with number 2004-44.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2004-44

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Related research
Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Irreversibility; Uncertainty; Imperfect information; Investment Delay;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Investment Policy
O16 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment

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  1. Gregory K. Bell & José M. Campa, 1997. "Irreversible Investments And Volatile Markets: A Study Of The Chemical Processing Industry," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(1), pages 79-87, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Pietra Rivoli & Eugene Salorio, 1996. "Foreign Direct Investment and Investment under Uncertainty," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 335-357, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Dixit, Avinash, 1992. "Investment and Hysteresis," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 107-32, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Pindyck, Robert S, 1991. "Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 29(3), pages 1110-48, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. McDonald, Robert & Siegel, Daniel, 1986. "The Value of Waiting to Invest," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 101(4), pages 707-27, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. José Manuel Campa, 1994. "Multinational Investment under Uncertainty in the Chemical Processing Industries," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 557-578, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-2.


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