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Identification and inference in discrete choice models with imperfect information

Author

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  • Gualdani, Cristina
  • Sinha, Shruti

Abstract

We study identification of preferences in a single-agent, static, discrete choice model where the decision maker may be imperfectly informed about the utility generated by the available alternatives. We impose no restrictions on the information frictions the decision maker may face and impose weak assumptions on how the decision maker deals with the uncertainty induced by those frictions. We leverage on the notion of one-player Bayes Correlated Equilibrium in Bergemann and Morris (2016) to provide a tractable characterisation of the identified set and discuss inference. We use our methodology and data on the 2017 UK general election to estimate a spatial model of voting under weak assumptions on the information that voters have about the returns to voting. We find that the assumptions on the information environment can drive the interpretation of voter preferences. Counterfactual exercises quantify the consequences of imperfect information in politics.

Suggested Citation

  • Gualdani, Cristina & Sinha, Shruti, 2019. "Identification and inference in discrete choice models with imperfect information," TSE Working Papers 19-1049, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Jun 2020.
  • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:33017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Paul S. Koh, 2022. "Stable Outcomes and Information in Games: An Empirical Framework," Papers 2205.04990, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    2. Emerson Melo, 2021. "Learning in Random Utility Models Via Online Decision Problems," Papers 2112.10993, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    3. Ashesh Rambachan, 2022. "Identifying Prediction Mistakes in Observational Data," NBER Chapters, in: Economics of Artificial Intelligence, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. YingHua He & Shruti Sinha & Xiaoting Sun, 2021. "Identification and Estimation in Many-to-one Two-sided Matching without Transfers," Papers 2104.02009, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    5. Paul S. Koh, 2022. "Estimating Dynamic Games with Unknown Information Structure," Papers 2205.03706, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    6. Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2022. "Counterfactuals with Latent Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(1), pages 343-368, January.
    7. Emerson Melo, 2021. "Learning In Random Utility Models Via Online Decision Problems," CAEPR Working Papers 2022-003 Classification-D, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Discrete choice model; Bayesian Persuasion; Bayesian Correlated Equilibrium; Incomplete Information; Partial Identification; Moment Inequalities.;
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