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The exact multi-period mean-square forecast error for the first-order autoregressive model

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  • Magnus, J.R.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

  • Hoque, A.
  • Pesaran, B.

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  • Magnus, J.R. & Hoque, A. & Pesaran, B., 1990. "The exact multi-period mean-square forecast error for the first-order autoregressive model," Other publications TiSEM 3f9a5173-06c6-4266-94b5-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:3f9a5173-06c6-4266-94b5-5892192da4f0
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    Cited by:

    1. Neil R. Ericsson & Jaime R. Marquez, 1990. "Evaluating the predictive performance of trade-account models," International Finance Discussion Papers 377, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Borm, Peter & Keiding, H & McLean, R.P. & Oortwijn, S & Tijs, S, 1992. "The Compromise Value for NTU-Games," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 21(2), pages 175-189.
    3. Neil R. Ericsson, 2000. "Predictable uncertainty in economic forecasting," International Finance Discussion Papers 695, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Patton, Andrew J. & Timmermann, Allan, 2007. "Properties of optimal forecasts under asymmetric loss and nonlinearity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 884-918, October.
    5. Zou, L., 1993. "Ownership structure and efficiency : An incentive mechanism approach," Other publications TiSEM a72a05c2-b3f2-47c7-a003-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    6. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Gruijters, A.P.D., 1989. "On the effectiveness of daily interventions by the Deutsche Bundesbank and the federal reserve system in the U.S. Dollar-Deutsche Mark exchange market," Research Memorandum FEW 394, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Jari Hännikäinen, 2014. "Multi-step forecasting in the presence of breaks," Working Papers 1494, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
    8. Ten Raa, M.H. & Wolff, E.N., 1988. "Secondary products and the measurement of productivity growth," Discussion Paper 1988-6, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    9. Magnus, J.R. & Pesaran, B., 1990. "Evaluation of moments of ratios of quadratic forms in normal variables and related statistics," Other publications TiSEM 9b269af3-185b-4ada-93e2-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Bennett, E. & van Damme, E.E.C., 1990. "Demand commitment bargaining : The case of apex games," Other publications TiSEM ef13c9a9-3db6-4939-96ef-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    11. Warneryd, Karl, 1992. "Communication, correlation, and symmetry in bargaining," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 295-300, July.
    12. Magnus, J.R. & Pesaran, B., 1990. "Forecasting, misspecification and unit roots : The case of Ar(1) versus ARMA(1,1)," Discussion Paper 1990-2, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    13. Bera, A.K. & Lee, S., 1993. "Information matrix test, parameter heterogeneity and ARCH : A synthesis," Other publications TiSEM bf71e9fe-03a8-48f0-8a72-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    14. Yong Bao & Aman Ullah, 2009. "Expectation of Quadratic Forms in Normal and Nonnormal Variables with Econometric Applications," Working Papers 200907, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2009.
    15. Guillaume Chevillon, 2007. "Direct Multi‐Step Estimation And Forecasting," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 746-785, September.
    16. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2010. "Forecasting Aggregated Time Series Variables: A Survey," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(2), pages 1-26.
    17. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Pick, Andreas & Timmermann, Allan, 2011. "Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 173-187, September.
    18. Bovenberg, A.L. & Goulder, L.H., 1993. "Promoting investment under international capital mobility : An intertemporal general equilibrium analysis," Other publications TiSEM 3d211075-2c03-478d-b657-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    19. Barten, A.P., 1992. "The estimation of mixed demand systems," Other publications TiSEM 182f4296-e95b-4dea-aa8b-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    20. Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2003. "Properties of Optimal Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 4037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    21. Karl Wärneryd, 1993. "Anarchy, Uncertainty, And The Emergence Of Property Rights," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(1), pages 1-14, March.

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