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Real Options and the Costs of the Local Telecommunications Network

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Author Info
Nicholas Economides

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Abstract

The Telecommunications Act of 1996 invites entry in the local telecommunications networks whereby entrants will lease parts of the network ("unbundled network elements") from incumbents "at cost plus reasonable profit." A crucial question in the implementation of the Act is the appropriate measure of cost. This paper examines the economic principles on which the cost calculation should be based. I conclude that the appropriate measure of cost (maximizing allocative, productive, and dynamic efficiency) is forward-looking economic cost and not the historical, accounting, or embedded cost of the incumbent’s network. In calculating costs, demand and supply uncertainty, as well as the asymmetric position of incumbents and entrants should be taken into account. Close examination of the issue of uncertainty in the local telecommunications network reveals that (i) for most unbundled network elements, there is little demand uncertainty; and (ii) that those elements that face significant uncertainty, do not have sunk value. Thus, the incumbent does not face higher expected cost by investing. Moreover, the rewards of the incumbent can be higher because buyers prefer to buy services from the owner of the network. Finally, strategic considerations in oligopolistic interaction are likely to dominate any uncertainty considerations and will increase the incentive of incumbents to invest.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 99-11.

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Date of creation: Jun 1999
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Handle: RePEc:ste:nystbu:99-11

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Postal: New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics, 44 West 4th Street, New York, NY 10012-1126
Phone: (212) 998-0860
Fax: (212) 995-4218
Web page: http://w4.stern.nyu.edu/economics/
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Related research
Keywords: telecommunications; regulation; cost; real options;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance
D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing

Cited by:
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  1. Nicholas Economides, 2004. "Telecommunications Regulation: An Introduction," Working Papers 04-20, NET Institute, revised Aug 2004. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Robert S. Pindyck, 2007. "Mandatory Unbundling and Irreversible Investment in Telecom Networks," Review of Network Economics, Concept Economics, vol. 6(3), pages 274-298, September. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Nicholas Economides, 2004. "The Economics of the Internet Backbone," Working Papers 04-23, NET Institute, revised Oct 2004. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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