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Initial-Condition Free Estimation of Fixed Effects Dynamic Panel Data Models

Author

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  • Zhenlin Yang

    (School of Economics, Singapore Management University, Singapore, 178903)

Abstract

It is well known that (quasi) MLE of dynamic panel data (DPD) models with short panels depends on the assumptions on the initial values; ignoring them or a wrong treatment of them will result in inconsistency or serious bias. This paper introduces a initial-condition free method for estimating the fixed-effects DPD models, through a simple modification of the quasi-score. An outer-product-of-gradients (OPG) method is also proposed for robust inference. The MLE of Hsiao, Pesaran and Tahmiscioglu (2002, Journal of Econometrics), where the initial observations are modeled, is extended to quasi MLE and an OPG method is proposed for robust inference. Consistency and asymptotic normality for both estimation strategies are established, and the two methods are compared through Monte Carlo simulations. The proposed method performs well in general, whether the panel is short or not. The quasi MLE performs comparably, except when model does not contain time-varying regressor, or the panel is not short and the dynamic parameter is small. The proposed method is much simpler and easier to apply.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenlin Yang, 2014. "Initial-Condition Free Estimation of Fixed Effects Dynamic Panel Data Models," Working Papers 16-2014, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:siu:wpaper:16-2014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bias reduction; Consistency; Asymptotic normality; Dynamic panel; Fixed effects; Modified quasi-score; Robust standard error; Short panel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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