IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/nan/wpaper/1415.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Accuracy and efficiency of various GMM inference techniques in dynamic micro panel data models

Author

Listed:
  • Jan F. Kiviet

    (Division of Economics, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, 14 Nanyang Drive, Singapore 637332;)

  • Milan Pleus

    (Amsterdam School of Economics & Tinbergen Institute, University of Amsterdam, Valckenierstraat 65, 1018 XE Amsterdam, The Netherlands)

  • Rutger Poldermans

    (Amsterdam School of Economics & Tinbergen Institute, University of Amsterdam, Valckenierstraat 65, 1018 XE Amsterdam, The Netherlands)

Abstract

The performance in finite samples is examined of inference obtained by variants of the Arellano-Bond and the Blundell-Bond GMM estimation techniques for single dynamic panel data models with possibly endogenous regressors and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. By simulation the effects are examined of using particular instrument strength enhancing reductions and transformations of the matrix of instrumental variables, of less robust implementations of the GMM weighting matrix, and also of corrections to the standard asymptotic variance estimates. We compare the root mean squared errors of the coefficient estimators and also the size of tests on coefficient values and of different implementations of overidentification restriction tests. Also the size and power of tests on the validity of the additional orthogonality conditions exploited by the Blundell-Bond technique are assessed over a pretty wide grid of relevant cases. Surprisingly, particular asymptotically optimal and relatively robust weighting matrices are found to be superior in finite samples to ostensibly more appropriate versions. Most of the variants of tests for overidentification restrictions show serious deficiencies. A recently developed modification of GMM is found to have great potential when the cross-sectional heteroskedasticity is pronounced and the time-series dimension of the sample not too small. Finally all techniques are employed to actual data and lead to some profound insights.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan F. Kiviet & Milan Pleus & Rutger Poldermans, 2014. "Accuracy and efficiency of various GMM inference techniques in dynamic micro panel data models," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 1415, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
  • Handle: RePEc:nan:wpaper:1415
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www3.ntu.edu.sg/hss2/egc/wp/2014/2014-15.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stephen Bond & Frank Windmeijer, 2005. "Reliable Inference For Gmm Estimators? Finite Sample Properties Of Alternative Test Procedures In Linear Panel Data Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 1-37.
    2. Hsiao, Cheng & Hashem Pesaran, M. & Kamil Tahmiscioglu, A., 2002. "Maximum likelihood estimation of fixed effects dynamic panel data models covering short time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 107-150, July.
    3. Bun, Maurice J.G. & Carree, Martin A., 2005. "Bias-Corrected Estimation in Dynamic Panel Data Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 200-210, April.
    4. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    5. Ziliak, James P, 1997. "Efficient Estimation with Panel Data When Instruments Are Predetermined: An Empirical Comparison of Moment-Condition Estimators," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 15(4), pages 419-431, October.
    6. Dhaene, Geert & Jochmans, Koen, 2016. "Likelihood Inference In An Autoregression With Fixed Effects," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(5), pages 1178-1215, October.
    7. David Roodman, 2009. "How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 9(1), pages 86-136, March.
    8. Sebastian Kripfganz & Claudia Schwarz, 2019. "Estimation of linear dynamic panel data models with time‐invariant regressors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(4), pages 526-546, June.
    9. Flannery, Mark J. & Hankins, Kristine Watson, 2013. "Estimating dynamic panel models in corporate finance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-19.
    10. Bun, Maurice J.G. & Kiviet, Jan F., 2006. "The effects of dynamic feedbacks on LS and MM estimator accuracy in panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 409-444, June.
    11. Gouriéroux, Christian & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Yu, Jun, 2010. "Indirect inference for dynamic panel models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 68-77, July.
    12. Kiviet, Jan F., 2012. "Monte Carlo Simulation for Econometricians," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 5(1–2), pages 1-181, March.
    13. Geert Dhaene & Koen Jochmans, 2011. "An Adjusted profile likelihood for non-stationary panel data models with fixed effects," Working Papers hal-01073732, HAL.
    14. Jan F. Kiviet & Qu Feng, 2014. "Efficiency Gains by Modifying GMM Estimation in Linear Models under Heteroskedasticity," UvA-Econometrics Working Papers 14-06, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Dept. of Econometrics.
    15. Badi H. Baltagi & Espen Bratberg & Tor Helge Holmås, 2005. "A panel data study of physicians' labor supply: the case of Norway," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(10), pages 1035-1045, October.
    16. Hayakawa, Kazuhiko, 2010. "The effects of dynamic feedbacks on LS and MM estimator accuracy in panel data models: Some additional results," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 202-208, November.
    17. Javier Alvarez & Manuel Arellano, 2003. "The Time Series and Cross-Section Asymptotics of Dynamic Panel Data Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(4), pages 1121-1159, July.
    18. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    19. Jan F. Kiviet, 2013. "Identification and inference in a simultaneous equation under alternative information sets and sampling schemes," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 16(1), pages 24-59, February.
    20. Hahn, Jinyong & Hausman, Jerry & Kuersteiner, Guido, 2007. "Long difference instrumental variables estimation for dynamic panel models with fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 574-617, October.
    21. Holtz-Eakin, Douglas & Newey, Whitney & Rosen, Harvey S, 1988. "Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(6), pages 1371-1395, November.
    22. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/dambferfb7dfprc9m052g20qh is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Bowsher, Clive G., 2002. "On testing overidentifying restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 211-220, October.
    24. Jinyong Hahn & Guido Kuersteiner, 2002. "Asymptotically Unbiased Inference for a Dynamic Panel Model with Fixed Effects when Both "n" and "T" Are Large," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1639-1657, July.
    25. Kruiniger, Hugo, 2008. "Maximum likelihood estimation and inference methods for the covariance stationary panel AR(1)/unit root model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 447-464, June.
    26. Maurice J.G. Bun & Sarafidis, V., 2013. "Dynamic Panel Data Models," UvA-Econometrics Working Papers 13-01, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Dept. of Econometrics.
    27. Mark N. Harris & Weiping Kostenko & László Mátyás & Isfaaq Timol, 2009. "The Robustness Of Estimators For Dynamic Panel Data Models To Misspecification," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 54(03), pages 399-426.
    28. David Roodman, 2009. "A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(1), pages 135-158, February.
    29. Cameron,A. Colin & Trivedi,Pravin K., 2005. "Microeconometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521848053, October.
    30. Hayakawa, Kazuhiko, 2009. "On the effect of mean-nonstationarity in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 153(2), pages 133-135, December.
    31. Bun, Maurice J.G. & Carree, Martin A., 2006. "Bias-corrected estimation in dynamic panel data models with heteroscedasticity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 220-227, August.
    32. Okui, Ryo, 2009. "The optimal choice of moments in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(1), pages 1-16, July.
    33. Juodis, Artūras, 2013. "A note on bias-corrected estimation in dynamic panel data models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(3), pages 435-438.
    34. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    35. Gerdie Everaert, 2013. "Orthogonal to backward mean transformation for dynamic panel data models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 16(2), pages 179-221, June.
    36. Han, Chirok & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2013. "First difference maximum likelihood and dynamic panel estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(1), pages 35-45.
    37. Phillips,Garry D. A. & Tzavalis,Elias (ed.), 2007. "The Refinement of Econometric Estimation and Test Procedures," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521870535, October.
    38. Kiviet, Jan F., 1995. "On bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 53-78, July.
    39. Windmeijer, Frank, 2005. "A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 25-51, May.
    40. Ahn, Seung C. & Schmidt, Peter, 1995. "Efficient estimation of models for dynamic panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 5-27, July.
    41. Enrique Moral-Benito, 2013. "Likelihood-Based Estimation of Dynamic Panels With Predetermined Regressors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 451-472, October.
    42. Arellano, Manuel, 2003. "Panel Data Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199245291.
    43. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/1mc4dip81d9t8r0t57fe1h8lap is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Duarte & Thomas M. Eisenbach, 2021. "Fire‐Sale Spillovers and Systemic Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 1251-1294, June.
    2. Shahriar Kabir & Ruhul Salim, 2016. "Can A Common Currency Induce Intra-Regional Trade? The Southeast Asian Perspective," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 218-234, November.
    3. Devdatta Ray & Mikael Linden, 2020. "Health expenditure, longevity, and child mortality: dynamic panel data approach with global data," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 99-119, March.
    4. Hak Yeung & Jürgen Huber, 2023. "China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Life Expectancy in Host Countries: Empirical Analysis," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 29(4), pages 225-242, November.
    5. Shahriar Kabir & Harry Bloch & Ruhul A Salim, 2018. "Global Financial Crisis And Southeast Asian Trade Performance: Empirical Evidence," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(2), pages 114-144, July.
    6. Pua, Andrew Adrian Yu & Fritsch, Markus & Schnurbus, Joachim, 2019. "Large sample properties of an IV estimator based on the Ahn and Schmidt moment conditions," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Betriebswirtschaftliche Reihe B-37-19, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    7. Pua, Andrew Adrian Yu & Fritsch, Markus & Schnurbus, Joachim, 2019. "Practical aspects of using quadratic moment conditions in linear dynamic panel data models," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Betriebswirtschaftliche Reihe B-38-19, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    8. Guschanski, Alexander & Onaran, Özlem, 2017. "The political economy of income distribution: industry level evidence from 14 OECD countries," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 17518, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    9. Kiviet, Jan F., 2020. "Microeconometric dynamic panel data methods: Model specification and selection issues," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 16-45.
    10. Li, Hongchang & Strauss, Jack & Shunxiang, Hu & Lui, Lu, 2018. "Do high-speed railways lead to urban economic growth in China? A panel data study of China’s cities," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 70-89.
    11. Haddou, Samira, 2022. "International financial stress spillovers to bank lending: Do internal characteristics matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Guschanski, Alexander & Onaran, Özlem, 2017. "Why is the wage share falling in emerging economies? Industry level evidence," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 17536, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    13. Lin, Boqiang & Xu, Bin, 2018. "Growth of industrial CO2 emissions in Shanghai city: Evidence from a dynamic vector autoregression analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 167-177.
    14. Finn Tarp & Sam Jones & Felix Schilling, 2021. "Doing business while holding public office: Evidence from Mozambique’s firm registry," DERG working paper series 21-08, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Development Economics Research Group (DERG).
    15. Hak Yeung & Jürgen Huber, 2022. "Further Evidence on China’s B&R Impact on Host Countries’ Quality of Institutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, May.
    16. Kiviet, Jan F. & Kripfganz, Sebastian, 2021. "Instrument approval by the Sargan test and its consequences for coefficient estimation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    17. Uka, Fitim & Gunzenhauser, Catherine & Larsen, Ross A. & von Suchodoletz, Antje, 2019. "Exploring a bidirectional model of executive functions and fluid intelligence across early development," Intelligence, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 111-121.
    18. Hongze Li & FengYun Li & Xinhua Yu, 2018. "China’s Contributions to Global Green Energy and Low-Carbon Development: Empirical Evidence under the Belt and Road Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-32, June.
    19. Sabaté, Marcela & Fillat, Carmen & Escario, Regina, 2019. "Budget deficits and money creation: Exploring their relation before Bretton Woods," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 38-56.
    20. Fritsch, Markus, 2019. "On GMM estimation of linear dynamic panel data models," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Betriebswirtschaftliche Reihe B-36-19, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    21. Hafezali Iqbal Hussain & Janusz Grabara & Mohd Shahril Ahmad Razimi & Saeed Pahlevan Sharif, 2019. "Sustainability of Leverage Levels in Response to Shocks in Equity Prices: Islamic Finance as a Socially Responsible Investment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-16, June.
    22. Breitung, Jörg & Kripfganz, Sebastian & Hayakawa, Kazuhiko, 2022. "Bias-corrected method of moments estimators for dynamic panel data models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 116-132.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jan F. Kiviet & Milan Pleus & Rutger Poldermans, 2014. "Accuracy and efficiency of various GMM inference techniques in dynamic micro panel data models," UvA-Econometrics Working Papers 14-09, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Dept. of Econometrics.
    2. Maurice J.G. Bun & Sarafidis, V., 2013. "Dynamic Panel Data Models," UvA-Econometrics Working Papers 13-01, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Dept. of Econometrics.
    3. Hayakawa, Kazuhiko, 2019. "Alternative over-identifying restriction test in the GMM estimation of panel data models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 71-95.
    4. Ryo Okui, 2017. "Misspecification in Dynamic Panel Data Models and Model-Free Inferences," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 283-304, September.
    5. Artūras Juodis, 2018. "Rank based cointegration testing for dynamic panels with fixed T," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 349-389, September.
    6. Badi H. Baltagi, 2021. "Dynamic Panel Data Models," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, in: Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, edition 6, chapter 0, pages 187-228, Springer.
    7. Chen, Weihao & Cizek, Pavel, 2023. "Bias-Corrected Instrumental Variable Estimation in Linear Dynamic Panel Data Models," Other publications TiSEM 9bf2c16c-522f-4223-8037-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    8. Hayakawa, Kazuhiko & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2015. "Robust standard errors in transformed likelihood estimation of dynamic panel data models with cross-sectional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 111-134.
    9. Fritsch, Markus, 2019. "On GMM estimation of linear dynamic panel data models," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Betriebswirtschaftliche Reihe B-36-19, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    10. Breitung, Jörg & Kripfganz, Sebastian & Hayakawa, Kazuhiko, 2022. "Bias-corrected method of moments estimators for dynamic panel data models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 116-132.
    11. Arturas Juodis, 2013. "First Difference Transformation in Panel VAR models: Robustness, Estimation and Inference," UvA-Econometrics Working Papers 13-06, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Dept. of Econometrics.
    12. Zhenlin Yang, 2014. "Initial-Condition Free Estimation of Fixed Effects Dynamic Panel Data Models," Working Papers 16-2014, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
    13. Bao, Yong & Yu, Xuewen, 2023. "Indirect inference estimation of dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1027-1053.
    14. Hayakawa, Kazuhiko & Nagata, Shuichi, 2016. "On the behaviour of the GMM estimator in persistent dynamic panel data models with unrestricted initial conditions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 265-303.
    15. Chen, Weihao & Cizek, Pavel, 2023. "Bias-Corrected Instrumental Variable Estimation in Linear Dynamic Panel Data Models," Discussion Paper 2023-028, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    16. Alvarez, Javier & Arellano, Manuel, 2022. "Robust likelihood estimation of dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 21-61.
    17. Maurice J. G. Bun & Richard Kelaher & Vasilis Sarafidis & Don Weatherburn, 2020. "Crime, deterrence and punishment revisited," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2303-2333, November.
    18. Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2017. "A Bias-Corrected Method of Moments Approach to Estimation of Dynamic Short-T Panels," CESifo Working Paper Series 6688, CESifo.
    19. Kripfganz, Sebastian, 2014. "Unconditional Transformed Likelihood Estimation of Time-Space Dynamic Panel Data Models," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100604, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    20. Jan F. Kiviet, 2005. "Judging Contending Estimators by Simulation: Tournaments in Dynamic Panel Data Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-112/4, Tinbergen Institute.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cross-sectional heteroskedasticity; Sargan-Hansen (incremental) tests; variants of t-tests; weighting matrices; Windmeijer-correction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nan:wpaper:1415. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Magdalene Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dentusg.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.