Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

The Macroeconomic Impact of Skilled Emigration from South Africa: A CGE Analysis

Contents:

Author Info

  • Heinrich R Bohlman
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    South Africa faces the dual problem of large inflows of illegal immigrants and outflows of skilled emigrants. This situation potentially has serious implications for the domestic labour market and economy as a whole. In this paper we measure the impact of skilled emigration and the subsequent loss in primary factor productivity on the South African economy using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. Results indicate that skilled emigration in the absence of any programmes to counter this flow of workers has a generally negative effect on the economy. Industries with the greatest exposure to the investment and export sectors as well as those with the highest concentration of skilled workers are shown to be most affected. We also use simple and intuitive back-of-the-envelope equations to enhance our understanding of the mechanisms driving the model’s macroeconomic results. These results justify the government’s current efforts to retain and attract skilled labour as part of the ASGISA framework.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://econrsa.org/home/index.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_download&gid=187&Itemid=67
    Download Restriction: no

    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Economic Research Southern Africa in its series Working Papers with number 166.

    as in new window
    Length: 17 pages
    Date of creation: 2010
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:166

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Newlands on Main, F0301 3rd Floor Mariendahl House, cnr Campground and Main Rds, Claremont, 7700 Cape Town
    Phone: 021 671-3980
    Fax: +27 21 671 3912
    Web page: http://www.econrsa.org/
    More information through EDIRC

    Related research

    Keywords:

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    References

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as in new window

    Cited by:
    1. Rob Hodgson & Jacques Poot, 2011. "New Zealand Research on the Economic Impacts of Immigration 2005-2010: Synthesis and Research Agenda," CReAM Discussion Paper Series 1104, Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London.

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:166. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Yoemna Mosaval).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.