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New Evidence on Medicare's Prospective Payment System: A Survival Analysis based on the NHANES I Epidemiologic Followup Study

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Author Info
Xufeng Qian () (Moody's)
Louise Russell () (Rutgers/Economics and Institute for Health)
Elmira Valiyeva () (Rutgers)
Jane Miller () (Rutgers/Bloustein School and Institute for Health)
Abstract

Medicare’s prospective payment system (PPS), introduced in 1983, pays hospitals a fixed price for each stay rather than reimbursing costs. Previous studies evaluated its first few years using endogenous measures to control for heterogeneity in patients’ health. We examine PPS over a full decade using competing risks Cox survival models and a national longitudinal survey with independent information on patients’ health. New findings include: risk of death in hospital increased; risk of discharge to a nursing home continued to increase as PPS matured; and risk of nursing home admission from the community following hospital discharge rose. HMOs may have contributed to these outcomes.

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Paper provided by Rutgers University, Department of Economics in its series Departmental Working Papers with number 200506.

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Date of creation: 19 Jul 2005
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Handle: RePEc:rut:rutres:200506

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Related research
Keywords: Medicare;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis
I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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  1. Newhouse, Joseph P. & Byrne, Daniel J., 1988. "Did Medicare's Prospective Payment System cause length of stay to fall?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 413-416, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Daniel P. Kessler & Mark B. McClellan, 2000. "Is Hospital Competition Socially Wasteful?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 115(2), pages 577-615, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Shen, Yu-Chu, 2003. "The effect of financial pressure on the quality of care in hospitals," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 243-269, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Cutler, David M, 1995. "The Incidence of Adverse Medical Outcomes under Prospective Payment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 63(1), pages 29-50, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Gabriel A. Picone & Frank A. Sloan & Shin-Yi Chou & Donald H. Taylor, 2003. "Does Higher Hospital Cost Imply Higher Quality of Care?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(1), pages 51-62, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Nazmi Sari, 2002. "Do competition and managed care improve quality?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(7), pages 571-584. [Downloadable!]
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