The risk premium for equity: implications for resource allocation, welfare and policy
AbstractThis paper describes experiences in the development and testing of three distinct financial models to support farm forestry decisions involving non-traditional tree species in northern Australia and in the Philippines. A variety of options were examined with respect to model design, yield prediction, computing platform, forestry performance criteria and other features. Two of the models focus on the forestry enterprise in isolation, while the third evaluates forestry within the context of the overall farm business. It is found that choice of model design depends on the particular type of application intended and availability of financial data for this application. Some complementarities were gained in replicating features when progressing from one model to the next. Model construction and testing were challenging tasks requiring considerable funds and for two of the models proceeding over a number of years. Validation involved the gradual gaining of confidence in a model as it progressed through various versions. For the more complex models, greater effort in development of the user interface was found to be warranted. The models have proved more suitable for use by extension agents than individual landholders. Even with major resource inputs into model development, a number of desirable additional features can be identified.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland in its series Risk & Uncertainty Working Papers with number WPR04_8.
Date of creation: Aug 2004
Date of revision:
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equity premium puzzle; public investment;
Other versions of this item:
- Simon Grant & John Quiggin, 2006. "The Risk Premium For Equity: Implications For Resource Allocation, Welfare And Policy ," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(3), pages 253-268, 09.
- Grant, Simon & Quiggin, John, 2004. "The risk premium for equity: implications for resource allocation, welfare and policy," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 151167, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AGR-2006-03-17 (Agricultural Economics)
- NEP-ALL-2006-03-05 (All new papers)
- NEP-FIN-2006-03-05 (Finance)
- NEP-FMK-2006-03-28 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-PBE-2006-03-05 (Public Economics)
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- John Quiggin, 2010.
"Bad Politics Makes Bad Policy: The Case of Queensland's Asset Sales Programme,"
The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 29(1), pages 13-22, 03.
- Quiggin, John, 2010. "Bad Politics makes bad policy: the case of Queensland's Asset Sales Program," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 151523, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
- John Quiggin, 2010. "Bad politics makes bad policy: the case of Queensland’s asset sales program," Australian Public Policy Program Working Papers WPP10_1, Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland.
- Kim, Sei-Wan & Krausz, Joshua & Nam, Kiseok, 2013. "Revisiting asset pricing under habit formation in an overlapping-generations economy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 132-138.
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