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What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Say About Labor Income Risk?

Author

Listed:
  • Serdar Ozkan

    (Federal Reserve Board)

  • Jae Song

    (Social Security Administration)

  • Fatih Karahan

    (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

  • Fatih Guvenen

    (University of Minnesota)

Abstract

The first part of this paper estimates a set of stochastic processes with increasing generality to capture these salient features of earnings dynamics to provide a reliable "user's guide" for applied economists. In the second part, we examine if these documented features can be explained in a standard job ladder model with learning about match quality and depreciation of skills during unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Serdar Ozkan & Jae Song & Fatih Karahan & Fatih Guvenen, 2013. "What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Say About Labor Income Risk?," 2013 Meeting Papers 1271, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed013:1271
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin Browning & Mette Ejrnæs & Javier Alvarez, 2010. "Modelling Income Processes with Lots of Heterogeneity," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 77(4), pages 1353-1381.
    2. Steven Haider & Gary Solon, 2006. "Life-Cycle Variation in the Association between Current and Lifetime Earnings," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(4), pages 1308-1320, September.
    3. Hubbard, R Glenn & Skinner, Jonathan & Zeldes, Stephen P, 1995. "Precautionary Saving and Social Insurance," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(2), pages 360-399, April.
    4. Kjetil Storesletten & Chris I. Telmer & Amir Yaron, 2004. "Cyclical Dynamics in Idiosyncratic Labor Market Risk," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(3), pages 695-717, June.
    5. Wojciech Kopczuk & Emmanuel Saez & Jae Song, 2010. "Earnings Inequality and Mobility in the United States: Evidence from Social Security Data Since 1937," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 125(1), pages 91-128.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fatih Karahan & Jae Song & Serdar Ozkan, 2018. "Sources of Inequality in Earnings Growth Over the Life Cycle," 2018 Meeting Papers 313, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Serdar Ozkan & Kurt Mitman & Fatih Karahan & Aaron Hedlund, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Heterogeneity and the Housing Channel," 2016 Meeting Papers 663, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Fatih Guvenen & Serdar Ozkan & Jae Song, 2014. "The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 122(3), pages 621-660.
    4. Alejandro Badel & Mark Huggett & Wenlan Luo, 2020. "Taxing Top Earners: a Human Capital Perspective," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 130(629), pages 1200-1225.
    5. Corina Boar, 2020. "Dynastic Precautionary Savings," NBER Working Papers 26635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Fatih Guvenen & Fatih Karahan & Serdar Ozkan, 2018. "Consumption and Savings Under Non-Gaussian Income Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 314, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Corina Boar, 2017. "Dynastic Precautionary Savings," 2017 Meeting Papers 343, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Fatih Guvenen, 2015. "The Research Agenda: Fatih Guvenen on Findings from Big Data on Income Inequality and Income Uncertainty," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(1), April.
    9. Serdar Ozkan & Kjetil Storesletten & Hans Holter & Elin Halvorsen, 2017. "The Distributions of Income and Consumption Risk: Evidence from Norwegian Registry Data," 2017 Meeting Papers 1404, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Mikhail Golosov & Maxim Troshkin & Aleh Tsyvinski, 2016. "Redistribution and Social Insurance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(2), pages 359-386, February.

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