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Openness to Trade and Structural Changes in the Sources of Economic Growth and Labour Demand in Turkey

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  • Guncavdi, Oner
  • Kucukcifci, Suat
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    Abstract

    The Turkish economy has undergone drastic structural changes since 1980. While the effects of the Turkish adjustment programme have drawn considerable attention, a few studies have investigated its employment impacts. Unlike neoclassical expectation behind the structural adjustment programme, some studies for Turkey have showed that this policy change in 1980 caused a decline in employment. Results show that the Turkish industrialisation strategy cannot be regarded as export-led industrialisation strategy. Extra output created by exports has been very limited during the post-liberalisation period. However domestic final demand has continued to be the most dominant determinant of output growth. A Surprising result of the paper appears for the period of 1985-1990 when import substitution in final demand created output growth particularly in technology-intensive manufacturing and other manufacturing sectors. However import penetration in final and intermediate goods overwhelmingly important factors creating de-industrialisation in the period of 1990-1996. This paper, however, examines the sources of changes in employment. Despite neoclassical expectations, the reform period after 1982 witnessed large factor substitution against labour, even in the tradable goods sector. Additionally, labour demand also appears to response to output growth less in the post-liberalisation period than before.

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    File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/9624/
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 9624.

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    Date of creation: 07 Jul 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:9624

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    Keywords: Structural changes; employment; input-output; trade reform; Turkey;

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    1. Yeldan, A.E., 2000. "The Impact of Financial Liberalization and the Rise of Financial Rents on Income Inequality: The Case of Turkey," Research Paper, World Institute for Development Economics Research 206, World Institute for Development Economics Research.
    2. Martin, John P & Evans, John M, 1981. "Notes on Measuring the Employment Displacement Effects of Trade by the Accounting Procedure," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 154-64, March.
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    Cited by:
    1. Basak Bayramoglu & Jean-Fran├žois Jacques, 2012. "Fishery Resources and Trade Openness: Evidence from Turkey," Working Papers, INRA, Economie Publique 2012/02, INRA, Economie Publique.

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