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Winter Transport via Trucks with Chains and the Fraction of Time Spent in Accidents

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  • Batabyal, Amitrajeet

Abstract

In this note, we analyze hitherto unstudied aspects of winter transport provision via trucks with chains on tires. Specifically, we first construct a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) model of transport provision that focuses on the movements of a representative truck in a firm’s fleet of trucks. Second, we specify the limiting probabilities of our DTMC model of truck transport. Third, we derive the fraction of time that the representative truck is involved in accidents. Finally, we solve an optimization problem whose solution tells us when the fraction of time the representative truck spends in accidents, is maximal.

Suggested Citation

  • Batabyal, Amitrajeet, 2015. "Winter Transport via Trucks with Chains and the Fraction of Time Spent in Accidents," MPRA Paper 71451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:71451
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Theo Arentze & Tao Feng & Harry Timmermans & Jops Robroeks, 2012. "Context-dependent influence of road attributes and pricing policies on route choice behavior of truck drivers: results of a conjoint choice experiment," Transportation, Springer, vol. 39(6), pages 1173-1188, November.
    2. Cantor, David E. & Corsi, Thomas M. & Grimm, Curtis M. & Özpolat, Koray, 2010. "A driver focused truck crash prediction model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 683-692, September.
    3. Guest, Maya & Boggess, May M. & Duke, Janine M., 2014. "Age related annual crash incidence rate ratios in professional drivers of heavy goods vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 1-8.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Accident; Tire Chain; Transport; Truck; Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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