Opportunities for international portfolio diversification in the balkans’ markets
AbstractThis paper examines long and short-run relationships among three emerging Balkan stock markets (Romania, Bulgaria and Croatia), two developed European stock markets (Germany and Greece) and United States (U.S.), during the period 2000 - 2005. We apply Johansen's (1988) cointegration methodology to test the long-run relationships between these markets and Granger's (1969) causality methodology in order to capture short-run cointegration. Our findings are mixed. We provide evidence on long-run relationships between the Bulgarian and Croatian stock markets and the developed markets. On the other hand, there is no any cointegration among the developed markets and the Romanian market. Moreover, there is no cointegrating relationship among the three regional emerging markets, while short-run relationships exist only among the region. These results have crucial implications for investors regarding the benefits of international portfolio diversification.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 37479.
Date of creation: Feb 2012
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in International Journal of Economics and Research 3i.1(2012): pp. 1-12
Balkan equity markets; Johansen cointegration; Granger causality;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
- F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
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