Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей
[Theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale]
AbstractA theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proven. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 20593.
Date of creation: 08 Feb 2010
Date of revision:
probability; economics; forecasting; modeling; modelling; utility; decisions; uncertainty;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
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- Harin, Alexander, 2009. "Ruptures in the probability scale? Calculation of ruptures’ dimensions," MPRA Paper 19348, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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