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Premature Deindustrialization Risk: The Case of Thailand

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  • Taguchi, Hiroyuki

Abstract

This study investigates the possibility of premature deindustrialization risk in Thailand, where the pressure of globalization and uneven industrial policies remain. This study adopts the latecomer index to materialize premature deindustrialization risk, which is expressed as the downward shift of the manufacturing–income relationship at the earlier level of income. The results of our empirical analysis confirm the presence of premature deindustrialization risk in Thailand’s regions as a result of globalization pressure (represented by China’s entry into the World Trade Organization) and uneven industrial policies conducted by the Thai government. Thus, the current industrial policies of the Thai government should be reconsidered to overcome premature deindustrialization risk in remote regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2022. "Premature Deindustrialization Risk: The Case of Thailand," MPRA Paper 113560, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:113560
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    Cited by:

    1. Lar, Ni & Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2023. "Premature deindustrialization or reindustrialization: The case of China’s latecomer provinces," MPRA Paper 118423, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2023. "Premature deindustrialization: an empirical analysis in latecomer developing countries," MPRA Paper 118346, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    premature deindustrialization risk; Thailand; latecomer index; globalization; industrial policies; manufacturing–income relationship; import deindustrialization; inclusive growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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