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Analytics and Implications of Services Sector Growth in Indian Economy

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Author Info
Rath , Deba Prasad
Raj, Rajesh
Abstract

Given the magnitude of services growth and its inter-linkages with other sectors of the economy, it is important to understand the impact of services sector on other macro-economic variables. The present paper attempts to identify some of the critical issues in India’s services-led growth and tests certain hypotheses that are currently in debate. These relate to: (a) whether the robust growth of the services sector has added a dimension of stability to India's GDP growth; (b) whether there has been a growing complementarity between services and industrial sectors of the economy; (c) whether like other commodity-producing sectors, the services sector also experienced 'jobless' growth; (d) whether the imposition of services tax has boosted the Indian Government’s efforts at mobilising more resources; and (e) whether high growth of services sector in India had an inflationary impact on the economy. Our analysis found the first four hypotheses to hold true. In respect of the last hypothesis, in contrast to the expectations that high services sector growth has an inflationary impact on the economy, we found that the rising share of services sector in GDP has not contributed to inflation in the Indian economy.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 10034.

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Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision: 2007
Publication status: Published in The Journal of Income and Wealth No.1; January-June 2006.Volume 28(2007): pp. 47-62
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:10034

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Related research
Keywords: Services; Industry; Tax; Employment; Inflation;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
O14 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology

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  1. James P. F. Gordon & Poonam Gupta, 2004. "Understanding India’s Services Revolution," IMF Working Papers 04/171, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Piyabha Kongsamut & Danyang Xie & Sergio Rebelo, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," IMF Working Papers 01/85, International Monetary Fund.
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  3. Rashmi Banga, 2005. "Critical issues in India's services-led growth," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 171, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ajit Singh & Sukti Dasgupta, 2005. "Will services be the new engine of economic growth in India?," ESRC Centre for Business Research - Working Papers wp310, ESRC Centre for Business Research. [Downloadable!]
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