IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/por/obegef/019.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Risk prevention of public procurement in the brazilian government using credit scoring

Author

Listed:
  • Leonardo Sales

Abstract

Credit Scoring models are statistical applications used by financial institutions to classify applicants as to the possibility of becoming defaulters. This work aims to bring that good experience from the private sector to the governmental context, seeking to adapt it and test its performance in identifying bidders likely to fail in the fulfillment of obligations under contracts with the government. The results of methods based on different statistical techniques are compared. We hope to contribute to the preventive control of the contractual risks, both by the public manager as by the agencies of government control.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Sales, 2013. "Risk prevention of public procurement in the brazilian government using credit scoring," OBEGEF Working Papers 019, OBEGEF - Observatório de Economia e Gestão de Fraude;OBEGEF Working Papers on Fraud and Corruption.
    • Handle: RePEc:por:obegef:019
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.fep.up.pt/repec/por/obegef/files/wp019.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. D. J. Hand & W. E. Henley, 1997. "Statistical Classification Methods in Consumer Credit Scoring: a Review," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 160(3), pages 523-541, September.
    2. B Baesens & T Van Gestel & S Viaene & M Stepanova & J Suykens & J Vanthienen, 2003. "Benchmarking state-of-the-art classification algorithms for credit scoring," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 54(6), pages 627-635, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dangxing Chen & Weicheng Ye & Jiahui Ye, 2022. "Interpretable Selective Learning in Credit Risk," Papers 2209.10127, arXiv.org.
    2. Richard Chamboko & Jorge M. Bravo, 2016. "On the modelling of prognosis from delinquency to normal performance on retail consumer loans," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(4), pages 264-287, December.
    3. Crone, Sven F. & Finlay, Steven, 2012. "Instance sampling in credit scoring: An empirical study of sample size and balancing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 224-238.
    4. Teply, Petr & Polena, Michal, 2020. "Best classification algorithms in peer-to-peer lending," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    5. Juan Laborda & Seyong Ryoo, 2021. "Feature Selection in a Credit Scoring Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-22, March.
    6. Rais Ahmad Itoo & A. Selvarasu & José António Filipe, 2015. "Loan Products and Credit Scoring by Commercial Banks (India)," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 5(1), pages 851-851.
    7. Ahmed Almustfa Hussin Adam Khatir & Marco Bee, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Data-Balancing Techniques for Credit Scoring: What Is the Best Combination?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-22, August.
    8. Andreea Costea, 2017. "A Quantitative Approach to Credit Risk Management in the Underwriting Process for the Retail Portfolio," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 20(63), pages 157-186, March.
    9. Chen, Dangxing & Ye, Jiahui & Ye, Weicheng, 2023. "Interpretable selective learning in credit risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    10. Bravo, Cristián & Maldonado, Sebastián & Weber, Richard, 2013. "Granting and managing loans for micro-entrepreneurs: New developments and practical experiences," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 358-366.
    11. Fang, Fang & Chen, Yuanyuan, 2019. "A new approach for credit scoring by directly maximizing the Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 180-194.
    12. Doruk Şen & Cem Çağrı Dönmez & Umman Mahir Yıldırım, 0. "A Hybrid Bi-level Metaheuristic for Credit Scoring," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-11.
    13. G Verstraeten & D Van den Poel, 2005. "The impact of sample bias on consumer credit scoring performance and profitability," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(8), pages 981-992, August.
    14. S M Finlay, 2006. "Predictive models of expenditure and over-indebtedness for assessing the affordability of new consumer credit applications," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 57(6), pages 655-669, June.
    15. José Willer Prado & Valderí Castro Alcântara & Francisval Melo Carvalho & Kelly Carvalho Vieira & Luiz Kennedy Cruz Machado & Dany Flávio Tonelli, 2016. "Multivariate analysis of credit risk and bankruptcy research data: a bibliometric study involving different knowledge fields (1968–2014)," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 106(3), pages 1007-1029, March.
    16. S M Finlay, 2008. "Towards profitability: a utility approach to the credit scoring problem," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 59(7), pages 921-931, July.
    17. Finlay, Steven, 2011. "Multiple classifier architectures and their application to credit risk assessment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 368-378, April.
    18. Rais Ahmad Itoo & A. Selvarasu, 2017. "Loan products and Credit Scoring Methods by Commercial Banks," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 7(1), pages 1297-1297.
    19. Adnan Dželihodžić & Dženana Đonko & Jasmin Kevrić, 2018. "Improved Credit Scoring Model Based on Bagging Neural Network," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(06), pages 1725-1741, November.
    20. Dinh, Thi Huyen Thanh & Kleimeier, Stefanie, 2007. "A credit scoring model for Vietnam's retail banking market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 471-495.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:por:obegef:019. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Rui Henrique Alves (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.