IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/p3gyb.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Harnessing the Power of Artificial Intelligence to Forecast Startup Success: An Empirical Evaluation of the SECURE AI Model

Author

Listed:
  • Morande, Swapnil
  • Arshi, Tahseen
  • Gul, Kanwal
  • Amini, Mitra

Abstract

This pioneering study employs machine learning to predict startup success, addressing the long-standing challenge of deciphering entrepreneurial outcomes amidst uncertainty. Integrating the multidimensional SECURE framework for holistic opportunity evaluation with AI's pattern recognition prowess, the research puts forth a novel analytics-enabled approach to illuminate success determinants. Rigorously constructed predictive models demonstrate remarkable accuracy in forecasting success likelihood, validated through comprehensive statistical analysis. The findings reveal AI’s immense potential in bringing evidence-based objectivity to the complex process of opportunity assessment. On the theoretical front, the research enriches entrepreneurship literature by bridging the knowledge gap at the intersection of structured evaluation tools and data science. On the practical front, it empowers entrepreneurs with an analytical compass for decision-making and helps investors make prudent funding choices. The study also informs policymakers to optimize conditions for entrepreneurship. Overall, it lays the foundation for a new frontier of AI-enabled, data-driven entrepreneurship research and practice. However, acknowledging AI’s limitations, the synthesis underscores the persistent relevance of human creativity alongside data-backed insights. With high predictive performance and multifaceted implications, the SECURE-AI model represents a significant stride toward an analytics-empowered paradigm in entrepreneurship management.

Suggested Citation

  • Morande, Swapnil & Arshi, Tahseen & Gul, Kanwal & Amini, Mitra, 2023. "Harnessing the Power of Artificial Intelligence to Forecast Startup Success: An Empirical Evaluation of the SECURE AI Model," SocArXiv p3gyb, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:p3gyb
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/p3gyb
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/64e99b49ac48a0039740256f/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/p3gyb?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jakub Horak & Jaromir Vrbka & Petr Suler, 2020. "Support Vector Machine Methods and Artificial Neural Networks Used for the Development of Bankruptcy Prediction Models and their Comparison," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-15, March.
    2. Nawal Abdalla Adam & Ghadah Alarifi, 2021. "Innovation practices for survival of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in the COVID-19 times: the role of external support," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, December.
    3. Li Xian Liu & Shuangzhe Liu & Milind Sathye, 2021. "Predicting Bank Failures: A Synthesis of Literature and Directions for Future Research," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-24, October.
    4. Cenamor, Javier & Parida, Vinit & Wincent, Joakim, 2019. "How entrepreneurial SMEs compete through digital platforms: The roles of digital platform capability, network capability and ambidexterity," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 196-206.
    5. Cassar, Gavin, 2014. "Industry and startup experience on entrepreneur forecast performance in new firms," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 137-151.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Umlai, Mohamed, 2023. "ICT sector, digitization and environmental sustainability: A systematic review of the literature from 2000 to 2022," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    2. Dominik M. Wielgos & Christian Homburg & Christina Kuehnl, 2021. "Digital business capability: its impact on firm and customer performance," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 762-789, July.
    3. Caliendo, Marco & Rodriguez, Daniel, 2023. "Divergent Thinking and Post-Launch Entrepreneurial Outcomes: Non-Linearities and the Moderating Role of Experience," IZA Discussion Papers 16443, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Tim Gruchmann & Nadine Pratt & Jan Eiten & Ani Melkonyan, 2020. "4PL Digital Business Models in Sea Freight Logistics: The Case of FreightHub," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-14, May.
    5. Norbert Bajkó & Zsolt Fülöp & Kinga Nagyné Pércsi, 2022. "Changes in the Innovation- and Marketing-Habits of Family SMEs in the Foodstuffs Industry, Caused by the Coronavirus Pandemic in Hungary," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-17, March.
    6. Zahoor, Nadia & Zopiatis, Anastasios & Adomako, Samuel & Lamprinakos, Grigorios, 2023. "The micro-foundations of digitally transforming SMEs: How digital literacy and technology interact with managerial attributes," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    7. Gambardella, Alfonso & Camuffo, Arnaldo & Spina, Chiara, 2020. "Small Changes with Big Impact: Experimental Evidence of a Scientific Approach to the Decision-Making of Entrepreneurial Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 14909, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. D’Angelo, Alfredo & Presutti, Manuela, 2019. "SMEs international growth: The moderating role of experience on entrepreneurial and learning orientations," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 613-624.
    9. Zahid Sarwar & Muhammad Asif Khan & Zhen Yang & Adnan Khan & Muhammad Haseeb & Aaqib Sarwar, 2021. "An Investigation of Entrepreneurial SMEs’ Network Capability and Social Capital to Accomplish Innovativeness: A Dynamic Capability Perspective," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, July.
    10. Guiyang Zhang & Chaoying Tang & Yong Qi, 2020. "Alliance Network Diversity and Innovation Ambidexterity: The Differential Roles of Industrial Diversity, Geographical Diversity, and Functional Diversity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, February.
    11. Yli-Renko, Helena & Denoo, Lien & Janakiraman, Ramkumar, 2020. "A knowledge-based view of managing dependence on a key customer: Survival and growth outcomes for young firms," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 35(6).
    12. Walid A. Nakara & Karim Messeghem & Andry Ramaroson, 2021. "Innovation and entrepreneurship in a context of poverty: a multilevel approach," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1601-1617, April.
    13. Folajimi Ashiru & Franklin Nakpodia & Jacqueline J You, 2023. "Adapting emerging digital communication technologies for resilience: evidence from Nigerian SMEs," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 327(2), pages 795-823, August.
    14. Ondřej Dvouletý, 2023. "A note on the effects of start-up competitions: experience from the Czech Business Plan Contest “Idea of the Year”," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    15. Beata Gavurova & Sylvia Jencova & Radovan Bacik & Marta Miskufova & Stanislav Letkovsky, 2022. "Artificial intelligence in predicting the bankruptcy of non-financial corporations," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(4), pages 1215-1251, December.
    16. Shin, Nina & Park, Sangwook, 2021. "Supply chain leadership driven strategic resilience capabilities management: A leader-member exchange perspective," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 1-13.
    17. Paschal B. Nade, 2022. "Crafting Innovativeness for Graduate Entrepreneurship Development in East Africa: Are Graduates Innovators or Imitators?," Management & Economics Research Journal, Faculty of Economics, Commercial and Management Sciences, Ziane Achour University of Djelfa, vol. 4(2), pages 45-62, September.
    18. Lina Song & Amirul Shah Md Shahbudin, 2023. "To anticipate the bankruptcy of Baoshang Bank based on CAMELS rating system," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(1), pages 65-88.
    19. Chen, Kuan-Yang & Huan, Tzung-Cheng, 2022. "Explore how SME family businesses of travel service industry use market knowledge for product innovation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 519-530.
    20. Katarzyna Rostek & Agnieszka Skala, 2018. "Segmentation Analysis For Polish Digital Startups in Years 2015 and 2016 (Analiza segmentacyjna polskich startupow cyfrowych w latach 2015–2016)," Research Reports, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(26), pages 55-67.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:p3gyb. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.