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Has Portugal gone wireless? Looking back, Looking ahead

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Author Info
Anabela Botelho () (NIMA, Universidade do Minho)
Ligia Costa Pinto () (NIMA, Universidade do Minho)

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Abstract

This paper analyses the pattern and rate of adoption of mobile telephones by the Portuguese population. It is shown that the pattern of diffusion is S-shaped and is consistent with a logistic function, which describes a symmetrical growth process. Furthermore, it is found that 67 percent of the population will likely adopt mobile phones, and that the levelling-off process in the diffusion of mobile phones has already begun. The analysis is intended to inform the larger discussion of managing the communications service, as well as to assist analysts concerned about assessing the impact of public policies in the evolution of communications sectors.

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File URL: http://nima.eeg.uminho.pt/publications/100.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Núcleo de Investigação em Microeconomia Aplicada (NIMA), Universidade do Minho in its series Working Papers with number 5.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nim:nimawp:5/2000

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Universidade do Minho, Escola de Economia e Gestão Gualtar, 4710-057 Braga,Portugal
Phone: +351 253604100 (ext 5530)
Fax: +351 253676375
Web page: http://nima.eeg.uminho.pt/

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Postal: Universidade do Minho, Escola de Economia e Gestão Gualtar, 4710-057 Braga,Portugal
Email:
Web: http://nima.eeg.uminho.pt/

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Related research
Keywords: technology diffusion; mobile telecommunications;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
L96 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Telecommunications
O30 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - General

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Philip M. Parker & Lars-Hendrik Roller, 1997. "Collusive Conduct in Duopolies: Multimarket Contact and Cross-Ownership in the Mobile Telephone Industry," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 28(2), pages 304-322, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Dixon, Robert J, 1980. "Hybrid Corn Revisited," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(6), pages 1451-61, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Cadima, Nuno & Pita Barros, Pedro Luis, 2000. "The Impact of Mobile Phone Diffusion on the Fixed-Link Network," CEPR Discussion Papers 2598, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Roland Artle & Christian Averous, 1973. "The Telephone System as a Public Good: Static and Dynamic Aspects," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 4(1), pages 89-100, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Geroski, Paul A, 1999. "Models of Technology Diffusion," CEPR Discussion Papers 2146, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Gruber, Harald & Verboven, Frank, 2000. "The Evolution of Markets Under Entry and Standards Regulation - The Case of Global Mobile Telecommunications," CEPR Discussion Papers 2440, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Anabela Botelho & Lígia Pinto, 2003. "Students' expectations of the economic returns to college education Results of a controlled experiment," Working Papers 27, Núcleo de Investigação em Microeconomia Aplicada (NIMA), Universidade do Minho. [Downloadable!]
  2. Pedro Pereira & José C. Pernías-Cerrillo, 2005. "The Diffusion of Cellular Telephony in Portugal before UMTS: A Time Series Approach," Working Papers 08, Portuguese Competition Authority. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-9.

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