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Young and Out in Germany: On the Youths' Chances of Labor Market Entrance in Germany

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Author Info
Wolfgang Franz
Joachim Inkmann
Winfried Pohlmeier
Volker Zimmermann

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Abstract

This paper deals with the labor market entrance of young people in the Federal Republic" of Germany. The main focus is on failures during this stage. First, an overview of the youth" labor market in Germany is given. Then, the transition from vocational training to work is" analyzed: The duration of the first spell of non-employment after completion of formal" vocational training is analyzed by means of a proportional hazard function approach. Besides the" strong influence of the human capital variables there is a striking effect of the family background" of the youths. The following section addresses the extent to which early failures in the work" history have long-lasting effects on future incomes. There is some evidence for a permanent" income reduction.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 6212.

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Date of creation: Oct 1997
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:6212

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Rainer Winkelmann, 1996. "Employment prospects and skill acquisition of apprenticeship-trained workers in Germany," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, ILR Review, ILR School, Cornell University, vol. 49(4), pages 658-672, July.
  2. Lynch, Lisa M., 1985. "State dependency in youth unemployment : A lost generation?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 71-84, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Lynch, Lisa M, 1989. "The Youth Labor Market in the Eighties: Determinants of Re-employment Probabilities for Young Men and Women," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(1), pages 37-45, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Han, Aaron & Hausman, Jerry A, 1990. "Flexible Parametric Estimation of Duration and Competing Risk Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(1), pages 1-28, January-M. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Rainer Winkelmann, 1997. "How young workers get their training: A survey of Germany versus the United States," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 159-170. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Thomas J. Kane & Dietmar Harhoff, 1997. "Is the German apprenticeship system a panacea for the U.S. labor market?," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 171-196. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Euwals, Rob & Winkelmann, Rainer, 2001. "Why do Firms Train? Empirical Evidence on the First Labour Market Outcomes of Graduate Apprentices," CEPR Discussion Papers 2880, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Bertschy, Kathrin & Cattaneo, Alejandra & Wolter, Stefan, 2008. "What Happened to the PISA 2000 Participants Five Years Later?," IZA Discussion Papers 3323, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. von Wachter, Till & Bender, Stefan, 2004. "In the Right Place at the Wrong Time: The Role of Firms and Luck in Young Workers’ Careers," IZA Discussion Papers 1348, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  4. Regina T. Riphahn, 1999. "Residential Location and Youth Unemployment: The Economic Geography of School-To-Work Transitions," IZA Discussion Papers 99, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  5. Raaum , Oddbjørn & Røed, Knut, 2003. "Do Business Cycle Conditions at the Time of Labour Market Entry Affect Future Unemployment?," Memorandum 12/2002, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Fersterer, Josef & Pischke, Jörn-Steffen & Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf, 2007. "Returns to Apprenticeship Training in Austria: Evidence from Failed Firms," Economics Series 215, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Franz, Wolfgang & Zimmermann, Volker, 2001. "Job shopping after vocational training? : An empirical analysis of the transition from apprenticeship training to work," ZEW Discussion Papers 01-64, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  8. Jim Taylor & Anh Ngoc Nguyen, 2003. "Transition from school to first job: the influence of educational attainment," Working Papers 000060, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  9. Rob Euwals & Rainer Winkelmann, 2003. "Training Intensity and First Labor Market Outcomes of Apprenticeship Graduates," Working Papers 0308, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
  10. Niall O'Higgins, 2005. "The Challenge of Youth Unemployment," Labor and Demography 0507003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  11. Coneus, Katja & Gernandt, Johannes & Saam, Marianne, 2008. "Noncognitive Skills, Internet Use and Educational Dropout," ZEW Discussion Papers 08-044, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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