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Choice Under Uncertainty: A Model of Applications for the Social Security Disability Insurance Program

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Author Info
Janice Halpern
Jerry A. Hausman

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Abstract

Not all people with health problems are disabled. Some individuals with severe physical or mental impairments, such as blindness or limb amputation, continue to hold jobs and generally function satisfactorily.They constitute, however, a group of potentially disabled individuals who might apply and qualify for Disability Insurance or other disability-related benefits if they were to lose their jobs or to decide that employment offered an inadequate financial or non-pecuniary reward. Thus, disability, or a health-related inability to work, is more than a medical problem but involves motivational and attitudinal factors. We specify a model of the application process, which we model as choice under uncertainty about approval of an application for Disability Insurance. We specify the possible outcomes to the choice process of an individual in which the probability of acceptance for Disability Insurance is a key consideration. We then estimate a joint model of labor supply and application to the Disability Insurance program based on the 1972 survey. We then compare our results to the observed time series applications process since 1976. Lastly, we estimate the sensitivity of the application process to the probability of acceptance and the level of benefits.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 1690.

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Date of creation: Aug 1985
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1690

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  1. Hausman, Jerry A., 1980. "The effect of wages, taxes, and fixed costs on women's labor force participation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 161-194, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jerry A. Hausman, 1980. "The effect of wages, taxes, and fixed costs on women's labor force participation," NBER Chapters, in: Econometric Studies in Public Finance, pages 161-194 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  1. Philip de Jong & Maarten Lindeboom & Bas van der Klaauw, 2006. "Screening Disability Insurance Applications," IZA Discussion Papers 1981, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  2. Burkhauser, Richard V. & Butler, J. S. & Gulcin Gumus, 2003. "Option Value and Dynamic Programming Model Estimates of Social Security Disability Insurance Application Timing," IZA Discussion Papers 941, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  3. Richard V. Burkhauser & J. S. Butler & Gulcin Gumus, 2004. "Dynamic programming model estimates of Social Security Disability Insurance application timing," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(6), pages 671-685. [Downloadable!]
  4. Michele Campolieti & James Goldenberg, 2007. "Disability Insurance Denial Rates and the Labor Force Participation of Older Men and Women in Canada," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 35(1), pages 59-75, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Jonathan Gruber & Jeffrey D. Kubik, 1994. "Disability Insurance Rejection Rates and the Labor Supply of Older Workers," NBER Working Papers 4941, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Lixin Cai & Ha Vu & Roger Wilkins, 2006. "Disability Support Pension Recipients: Who Gets Off (and Stays Off) Payments?," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2006n18, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Hakola, Tuulia, 2002. "Alternative Approaches to Model Withdrawals from the Labour Market – A Literature Review," Working Paper Series 2003:4, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Burkhauser, Richard V. & Butler, J. S. & Gulcin Gumus, 2003. "Dynamic Modeling of the SSDI Application Timing Decision: The Importance of Policy Variables," IZA Discussion Papers 942, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  10. John Bound & Todd Stinebrickner & Timothy Waidmann, 2007. "Health, Economic Resources and the Work Decisions of Older Men," NBER Working Papers 13657, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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