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The Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model Version 1 (LURNZv1: Model Description)


Author Info

  • Joanna Hendy

    (Motu Economic and Public Policy Research)

  • Suzi Kerr

    (Motu Economic and Public Policy Research)

  • Troy Baisden

    (GNS Science)


This paper documents the first version of the Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model (LURNZv1). It describes the overall modelling approach, the database underlying the model, and the construction of each module within the model. The model is econometrically estimated from national time series data and spatially extrapolated using economic and geophysical variables. It is primarily a simulation model but is also set up to produce predictions based on future price scenarios. The model output includes projections of four types of rural land use under different scenarios and 25 ha grid maps of where land use, and changes in land use, are likely to occur.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Motu Economic and Public Policy Research in its series Working Papers with number 07_07.

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Length: 63 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mtu:wpaper:07_07

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Keywords: simulation model; land use; dairy; sheep; beef; forestry; reverting indigenous forest;

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  1. Ralph Lattimore, 2003. "Long Run Trends in New Zealand Industry Assistance," Working Papers 03_11, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
  2. Suzi Kerr & Joanna Hendy & Emma Brunton & Isabelle Sin, 2005. "The likely regional impacts of an agricultural emissions policy in New Zealand: Preliminary analysis," Working Papers 05_08, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
  3. Joanna Hendy & Suzi Kerr, 2005. "Greenhouse Gas Emission Factor Module: Land Use in Rural New Zealand - Climate Version 1," Working Papers 05_10, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
  4. Joanna Hendy & Suzi Kerr, 2006. "Land Use Intensity Module: Land Use in Rural New Zealand Version 1," Working Papers 06_05, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
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Cited by:
  1. Lock, Kelly & Hendy, Joanna & Kerr, Suzi, 2006. "Sheep and Beef Production Costs Across New Zealand: Introducing the Spatial Dimension," 2006 Conference, August 24-25, 2006, Nelson, New Zealand 31952, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  2. Evison, David, 2010. "Comparing the profitability of farming and forestry," 2010 Conference, August 26-27, 2010, Nelson, New Zealand 99682, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  3. Kerr, Suzi & Zhang, Wei & Power, William, 2010. "Short term effects of moderate carbon prices on land use in the New Zealand emissions trading system: LURNZ-climate land use change simulations," 2010 Conference, August 26-27, 2010, Nelson, New Zealand 96941, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  4. Suzi Kerr & Simon Anastasiadis & Alex Olssen & William Power & Levente Tímár & Wei Zhang, 2012. "Spatial and Temporal Responses to an Emissions Trading System Covering Agriculture and Forestry: Simulation Results from New Zealand," Working Papers 12_10, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
  5. Olubode-Awosola, Femi, 2011. "Integrated Assessment Modelling of Complexity in the New Zealand Farming Industry," 2011 Conference, August 25-26, 2011, Nelson, New Zealand 115404, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  6. Zhang, Wei & Power, William & Kerr, Suzi, 2009. "Potential Scrub Changes and Its Spatial Allocation under the New Zealand Emission Trading System," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 50896, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  7. Lock, Kelly & Kerr, Suzi & Cox, Tim & Rutherford, Kit, 2008. "Assessing design options for a Nutrient Trading System using an integrated model," 2008 Conference, August 28-29, 2008, Nelson, New Zealand 96443, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.


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