Welfare Reforms and the Living Standards of Single Mothers: Evidence from Canadian Provinces
AbstractThis paper evaluates the impact of the 1995-1998 Ontario welfare reforms on the standard of living among single mothers. I look at how different measures of single mothers’ consumption vary in response to transfer income shocks. Because welfare is a provincial responsibility in Canada, this study is able to consider the effects of the welfare reforms in Ontario, in comparison with other Canadian jurisdictions at the same time. By utilizing a ‘difference in difference’ natural experiment design I compare the changes in the standard of living of Ontario single mothers to changes in the standards of living of three distinct control groups. The comparison with control groups under different provincial administrations and the implementation of propensity score matching estimates sets my approach apart from previous similar work. The results indicate an initial decrease in the relative standard of living of Ontario single mothers. The immediate policy impact has been largely reversed with the complete implementation of welfare reforms and the introduction of National Child Benefit program. I find that the traditional regression approach overestimates the immediate negative effects of policy changes and underestimates the subsequent recovery. I find that the results are sensitive to the choice of control group; the inclusion of geographically different control groups adds significant insight to the analysis.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by McMaster University in its series Department of Economics Working Papers with number 2004-15.
Length: 46 pages
Date of creation: 2004
Date of revision:
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
- D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
- I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - General Welfare
- I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2004-10-21 (All new papers)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- A. Smith, Jeffrey & E. Todd, Petra, 2005.
"Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators?,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 125(1-2), pages 305-353.
- Jeffrey Smith & Petra Todd, 2003. "Does Matching Overcome Lalonde's Critique of Nonexperimental Estimators?," University of Western Ontario, CIBC Centre for Human Capital and Productivity Working Papers 20035, University of Western Ontario, CIBC Centre for Human Capital and Productivity.
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