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Rescuing the Recovery: Prospects and Policies for the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Dimitri B. Papadimitriou
  • Greg Hannsgen
  • Michalis Nikiforos
  • Gennaro Zezza

Abstract

If the Congressional Budget Office's recent projections of government revenues and outlays come to pass, the United States will not grow fast enough to bring down the unemployment rate between now and 2016. The public sector deficit will decline from present levels, endangering the sustainability of the recovery. But as this new Strategic Analysis shows, a public sector stimulus of a little over 1 percent of GDP per year focused on export-oriented R and D investment would increase US competitiveness through export-price effects, resulting in a rise of net exports, and slowly lower unemployment to less than 5 percent by 2016. The improvement in net export demand would allow the US economy to enter a period of aggregate-demand rehabilitation—with very encouraging consequences at home.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Greg Hannsgen & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2013. "Rescuing the Recovery: Prospects and Policies for the United States," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_oct_13, Levy Economics Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:lev:levysa:sa_oct_13
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    File URL: http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/sa_10_13.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Greg Hannsgen & Gennaro Zezza, 2011. "Is the Recovery Sustainable?," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_dec_11, Levy Economics Institute.
    2. Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Greg Hannsgen & Michalis Nikiforos, 2013. "Is the Link between Output and Jobs Broken?," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_mar_13, Levy Economics Institute.
    3. Aschauer, David Alan, 1989. "Is public expenditure productive?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 177-200, March.
    4. Mariana Mazzucato, 2015. "The Green Entrepreneurial State," SPRU Working Paper Series 2015-28, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.
    5. Anwar Shaikh & Gennaro Zezza & Claudio dos Santos, "undated". "Is International Growth the Way Out of U.S. Current Account Deficits? A Note of Caution," Economics Policy Note Archive 03-6, Levy Economics Institute.
    6. Nancy & Richard Ruggles, 1992. "Household And Enterprise Saving And Capital Formation In The United States: A Market Transactions View," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 38(2), pages 119-163, June.
    7. Wynne Godley & Alex Izurieta & Gennaro Zezza, 2004. "Prospects and Policies for the U.S. Economy: Why Net Exports Must Now Be the Motor for U.S. Growth," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive 04-7, Levy Economics Institute.
    8. Michalis Nikiforos, 2013. "Employment Recovery? after the Great Recession," Economics Policy Note Archive 13-03, Levy Economics Institute.
    9. A. P. Thirlwall, 2002. "The Nature of Economic Growth," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2579.
    10. Greg Hannsgen & Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, 2012. "Fiscal Traps and Macro Policy after the Eurozone Crisis," Economics Public Policy Brief Archive ppb_127, Levy Economics Institute.
    11. Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2013. "The Greek Economic Crisis and the Experience of Austerity: A Strategic Analysis," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_jul_13, Levy Economics Institute.
    12. Ruggles, Nancy & Ruggles, Richard, 1992. "Household and Enterprise Saving and Capital Formation in the United States: A Market Transactions View," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 38(2), pages 119-163, June.
    13. Wynne Godley, 1999. "Seven Unsustainable Processes: Medium-Term Prospects and Policies for the United States and the World," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive 99-10, Levy Economics Institute.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2017. "The Trump Effect: Is This Time Different?," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_apr_17, Levy Economics Institute.
    2. Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza & Greg Hannsgen, 2014. "Is Rising Inequality a Hindrance to the US Economic Recovery?," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_apr_14, Levy Economics Institute.
    3. Dimitri B. Papadimitriou & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2021. "The Pandemic, the Stimulus, and the Future Prospects for the US Economy," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_6_21, Levy Economics Institute.
    4. Nikolaos Apostolopoulos & Panagiotis Liargovas & Nikolaos Rodousakis & George Soklis, 2022. "COVID-19 in US Economy: Structural Analysis and Policy Proposals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-15, June.
    5. Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2018. "'America First,' Fiscal Policy, and Financial Stability," Economics Strategic Analysis Archive sa_apr_18, Levy Economics Institute.
    6. Robert A. Blecker, 2014. "Economic stagnation in the United States: underlying causes and global consequences," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 34(4), pages 689-725.
    7. Constantine, Collin, 2014. "Rethinking the Twin Deficits," MPRA Paper 58798, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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